Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32828836›Full record

ArticleJournal of clinical epidemiology2020

Loss to follow-up correction increased mortality estimates in HIV-positive people on antiretroviral therapy in Mozambique.

Nanina Anderegg, Jonas Hector, Laura F Jefferys, Juan Burgos-Soto, Michael A Hobbins, Jochen Ehmer, Lukas Meier, Marloes H Maathuis, Matthias Egger

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of clinical epidemiology, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 18 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
18citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

18 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors.

Nanina AndereggInstitute of Social and Preventive Medicine, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland. Electronic address: nanina.anderegg@ispm.unibe.ch.
Jonas HectorSolidarMed, Ancuabe, Mozambique.
Laura F JefferysSolidarMed, Ancuabe, Mozambique.
Juan Burgos-SotoSolidarMed, Ancuabe, Mozambique.
Michael A HobbinsSolidarMed, Lucerne, Switzerland.
Jochen EhmerSolidarMed, Lucerne, Switzerland.
Lukas MeierSeminar for Statistics, ETH Zürich, Zürich, Switzerland.
Marloes H MaathuisSeminar for Statistics, ETH Zürich, Zürich, Switzerland.
Matthias EggerInstitute of Social and Preventive Medicine, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland; Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology & Research, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa; Population Health Sciences, Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.

Funding

Observational Antiretroviral Studies In Southern Africa (OASIS) CollaborationU01AI069924 · NIAID · UNIVERSITAT BERN · PI Cleophas Chimbetete, Mary-Ann Davies · 2006 to 2026
$55.9M
NIAID NIH HHS U01 AI069924
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesPeople living with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) on antiretroviral therapy (ART) may be lost to follow-up (LTFU), which hampers the assessment of outcomes. We estimated mortality for patients starting ART in a rural region in sub-Saharan Africa and examined risk factors for death, correcting for LTFU. STUDY DESIGN AND

settingWe analyzed data from Ancuabe, Mozambique, where patients LTFU are traced by phone and home visits. We used cumulative incidence functions to estimate mortality and LTFU. To correct for LTFU, we revised outcomes based on tracing data using different inverse probability weights (maximum likelihood, Ridge regression, or Bayesian model averaging). We fitted competing risk models to identify risk factors for death and LTFU.

resultsThe analyses included 4,492 patients; during 8,152 person-years of follow-up, 486 patients died, 2,375 were LTFU, 752 were traced, and 603 were found. At 4 years after starting ART, observed mortality was 11.9% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 10.9-13.0), but 23.5% (95% CI: 19.8-28.0), 21.6% (95% CI: 18.7-25.0), and 23.3% (95% CI: 19.7-27.6) after correction with maximum likelihood, Ridge regression, and Bayesian model averaging weights, respectively. The risk factors for death included male sex, lower CD4 cell counts, and more advanced clinical stage.

conclusionIn ART programs with substantial LTFU, mortality estimates need to take LTFU into account.

Indexed as

Lost to Follow-UpAdultAnti-HIV AgentsFemaleFollow-Up StudiesHIV InfectionsHumansMaleMozambiqueReproducibility of ResultsRisk FactorsSensitivity and SpecificityYoung AdultAnti-HIV AgentsAIDSHighly active antiretroviral therapyHIVLoss to follow-upMortalityMozambique

Identifiers

PMID32828836
PMCPMC7957226

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.