Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32826260›Full record

ArticleBMJ supportive & palliative care2022

Adult palliative care 2004-2030 population study: estimates and projections in Malaysia.

Su Lan Yang, Yuan Liang Woon, Cindy Cy Oun Teoh, Chin Tho Leong, Richard Boon Leong Lim

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ supportive & palliative care, 2022. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
16citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

16 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Su Lan YangCentre for Clinical Epidemiology, Institute for Clinical Research, National Institute of Health, Setia Alam, Selangor, Malaysia yslan89@hotmail.com.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8554-356X
Yuan Liang WoonCentre for Clinical Epidemiology, Institute for Clinical Research, National Institute of Health, Setia Alam, Selangor, Malaysia.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4834-9175
Cindy Cy Oun TeohDepartment of Palliative Medicine, Hospital Selayang, Batu Caves, Selangor, Malaysia.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9283-2749
Chin Tho LeongCentre for Clinical Epidemiology, Institute for Clinical Research, National Institute of Health, Setia Alam, Selangor, Malaysia.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-3688-5467
Richard Boon Leong LimDepartment of Palliative Medicine, Hospital Selayang, Batu Caves, Selangor, Malaysia.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesTo estimate past trends and future projection of adult palliative care needs in Malaysia.

methodsThis is a population-based secondary data analysis using the national mortality registry from 2004 to 2014. Past trend estimation was conducted using Murtagh's minimum and maximum methods and Gómez-Batiste's method. The estimated palliative care needs were stratified by age groups, gender and administrative states in Malaysia. With this, the projection of palliative care needs up to 2030 was conducted under the assumption that annual change remains constant.

resultsThe palliative care needs in Malaysia followed an apparent upward trend over the years regardless of the estimation methods. Murtagh's minimum estimation method showed that palliative care needs grew 40% from 71 675 cases in 2004 to 100 034 cases in 2014. The proportion of palliative care needs in relation to deaths hovered at 71% in the observed years. In 2030, Malaysia should anticipate the population needs to be at least 239 713 cases (240% growth from 2014), with the highest needs among age group ≥80-year-old in both genders. Sarawak, Perak, Johor, Selangor and Kedah will become the top five Malaysian states with the highest number of needs in 2030.

conclusionThe need for palliative care in Malaysia will continue to rise and surpass its service provision. This trend demands a stepped-up provision from the national health system with advanced integration of palliative care services to narrow the gap between needs and supply.

Indexed as

Hospice and Palliative Care NursingPalliative CareAdultAged, 80 and overFemaleForecastingHumansMalaysiaMaleRegistriesMalaysianeed assessmentpalliative carepopulation based estimationprojection

Identifiers

PMID32826260
PMCPMC9120397

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.