Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32820014›Full record

ArticleHeart (British Cardiac Society)2021

Prevalence and incidence rates of atrial fibrillation in Norway 2004-2014.

Lars Jøran Kjerpeseth, Jannicke Igland, Randi Selmer, Hanne Ellekjær, Arnljot Tveit, Trygve Berge, Silje Madeleine Kalstø, Ingrid Elisabeth Christophersen, Marius Myrstad, Eva Skovlund and 3 more

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Heart (British Cardiac Society), 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 33 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
33citing papers in PubMed
3.7field-weighted citation impact, top 5% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

33 citing papers in PubMed, 49 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Digital recruitment and prevalence of screen-detected atrial fibrillation in nationwide patch-based ECG screening: the NORSCREEN randomized clinical trial.Europace : European pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac electrophysiology : journal of the working groups on cardiac pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac cellular electrophysiology of the European Society of Cardiology · 2026
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  4. Cost-effectiveness of atrial fibrillation screening programmes across European nations.European heart journal. Quality of care & clinical outcomes · 2026
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  15. The NORwegian atrial fibrillation self-SCREENing (NORSCREEN) trial: rationale and design of a randomized controlled trial.Europace : European pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac electrophysiology : journal of the working groups on cardiac pacing, arrhythmias, and cardiac cellular electrophysiology of the European Society of Cardiology · 2024
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  17. The budget impact of implementing atrial fibrillation-screening in European countries.European heart journal supplements : journal of the European Society of Cardiology · 2024
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

13 authors at 6 institutions in 1 country.

Lars Jøran KjerpesethDepartment of Chronic Diseases and Ageing, Norwegian Institute of Public Health, Oslo, Norway.ORCID 0000-0002-2033-736X
Jannicke IglandDepartment of Global Public Health and Primary Care, University of Bergen, Bergen, Hordaland, Norway.
Randi SelmerDepartment of Chronic Diseases and Ageing, Norwegian Institute of Public Health, Oslo, Norway.
Hanne EllekjærDepartment of Neuromedicine and Movement Science, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Trondheim, Norway.
Arnljot TveitDepartment of Medical Research, Vestre Viken Hospital Trust, Bærum Hospital, Gjettum, Norway.
Trygve BergeDepartment of Medical Research, Vestre Viken Hospital Trust, Bærum Hospital, Gjettum, Norway.ORCID 0000-0002-7681-8621
Silje Madeleine KalstøDepartment of Medical Research, Vestre Viken Hospital Trust, Bærum Hospital, Gjettum, Norway.
Ingrid Elisabeth ChristophersenDepartment of Medical Research, Vestre Viken Hospital Trust, Bærum Hospital, Gjettum, Norway.
Marius MyrstadDepartment of Medical Research, Vestre Viken Hospital Trust, Bærum Hospital, Gjettum, Norway.
Eva SkovlundDepartment of Chronic Diseases and Ageing, Norwegian Institute of Public Health, Oslo, Norway.
Grace Margrethe EgelandDepartment of Global Public Health and Primary Care, University of Bergen, Bergen, Hordaland, Norway.
Grethe Seppola TellDepartment of Chronic Diseases and Ageing, Norwegian Institute of Public Health, Oslo, Norway.
Inger AriansenDepartment of Chronic Diseases and Ageing, Norwegian Institute of Public Health, Oslo, Norway inger.ariansen@fhi.no.ORCID 0000-0001-8529-4826
Norwegian Institute of Public Health · NOVestre Viken Hospital Trust · NONorwegian University of Science and Technology · NOOslo University Hospital · NOUniversity of Bergen · NOUniversity of Oslo · NO

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo study time trends in incidence of atrial fibrillation (AF) in the entire Norwegian population from 2004 to 2014, by age and sex, and to estimate the prevalence of AF at the end of the study period.

methodsA national cohort of patients with AF (≥18 years) was identified from inpatient admissions with AF and deaths with AF as underlying cause (1994-2014), and AF outpatient visits (2008-2014) in the Cardiovascular Disease in Norway (CVDNOR) project. AF admissions or out-of-hospital death from AF, with no AF admission the previous 10 years defined incident AF. Age-standardised incidence rates (IR) and incidence rate ratios (IRR) were calculated. All AF cases identified through inpatient admissions and outpatient visits and alive as of 31 December 2014 defined AF prevalence.

resultsWe identified 175 979 incident AF cases (30% primary diagnosis, 69% secondary diagnosis, 0.6% out-of-hospital deaths). AF IRs (95% confidence intervals) per 100 000 person years were stable from 2004 (433 (426-440)) to 2014 (440 (433-447)). IRs were stable or declining across strata of sex and age with the exception of an average yearly increase of 2.4% in 18-44 year-olds: IRR 1.024 (1.014-1.034). In 2014, the prevalence of AF in the adult population was 3.4%.

conclusionsWe found overall stable IRs of AF for the adult Norwegian population from 2004 to 2014. The prevalence of AF was 3.4% at the end of 2014, which is higher than reported in previous studies. Signs of an increasing incidence of early-onset AF (<45 years) are worrying and need further investigation.

Indexed as

AdolescentAdultAgedAged, 80 and overAtrial FibrillationCohort StudiesFemaleHumansIncidenceMaleMiddle AgedNorwayPrevalenceTime FactorsYoung Adultatrial fibrillationepidemiology

Identifiers

PMID32820014
PMCPMC7815897
OpenAlexW3066371055

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY-NC
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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.