Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32819990›Full record

ArticleBMJ open2020

Can antipoverty programmes save lives? Quasi-experimental evidence from the Earned Income Tax Credit in the USA.

Peter Muennig, Daniel Vail, Jahn K Hakes

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ open, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Trial
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Evolution of the US nonmetropolitan mortality disadvantage by sex, state, and year, 1999-2019.The Journal of rural health : official journal of the American Rural Health Association and the National Rural Health Care Association · 2025
    Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Peter MuennigDepartment of Health Policy and Management, Mailman School of Public Health, Columbia University, New York, New York, USA pm124@columbia.edu.ORCID 0000-0002-4234-0498
Daniel VailStandord Medical School, Stanford University, Stanford, California, USA.
Jahn K HakesU.S. Bureau of Census, Suitland, Maryland, USA.

Funding

An Experimental Investigation into the Impact of Socioeconomic Context on Biological Markers of Aging, Health and MortalityR01AG054466 · NIA · COLUMBIA UNIVERSITY HEALTH SCIENCES · PI ALLEN, HEIDI LYNN, MUENNIG, PETER A · 2016 to 2021
$3.0M
NIA NIH HHS R01 AG054466
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectiveTo estimate the impact of state-level supplements of the Earned Income Tax Credit (EITC) on mortality in the USA. The EITC supplements the wages of lower-income workers by providing larger returns when taxes are filed.

settingNationwide sample spanning 25 cohorts of people across every state in the USA.

participants793 000 respondents within the National Longitudinal Mortality Survey (NLMS) between 1986 and 2011, a representative sample of the USA.

interventionState-level supplementation to the EITC programme. Some, but not all, states added EITC supplementation to varying degrees beginning in 1986 (Wisconsin) and most recently in 2015 (California). Participants who were eligible in states with supplementary programmes were compared with those who were not eligible for supplementation. Comparisons were made both before and after implementation of the supplementary programme (a difference-in-difference, intent-to-treat analysis). This quasi-experimental approach further controls for age, gender, marital status, race or ethnicity, educational attainment, income and employment status. PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES: The primary outcome measure was survival at 10 years. Secondary outcome measures included survival at 5 years and survival to the end of the intervention period.

resultsWe find an association between state supplemental EITC and survival, with a HR of 0.973 (95% CI=0.951-0.996) for each US$100 of EITC increase (p<0.05).

conclusionState-level supplemental EITC may be an effective means of increasing survival in the USA.

Indexed as

IncomeIncome TaxEducational StatusEmploymentHumansUnited StatesWisconsinhealth policypublic healthsocial medicine

Identifiers

PMID32819990
PMCPMC7443298

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.