Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32819431›Full record

ArticleOrphanet journal of rare diseases2020

A novel prognostic model for adult patients with Hemophagocytic Lymphohistiocytosis.

Jun Zhou, Jing Zhou, Zhi-Qi Wu, Hemant Goyal, Hua-Guo Xu

Abstract read
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Article in Orphanet journal of rare diseases, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 24 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
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24citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
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1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

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The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

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3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

24 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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4 · The record

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5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Jun ZhouDepartment of Laboratory Medicine, the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China.
Jing ZhouDepartment of Laboratory Medicine, the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China.
Zhi-Qi WuDepartment of Laboratory Medicine, the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China.
Hemant GoyalThe Wright Center of Graduate Medical Education, Scranton, USA.
Hua-Guo XuDepartment of Laboratory Medicine, the First Affiliated Hospital of Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, Jiangsu, China. huaguoxu@njmu.edu.cn.ORCID 0000-0001-7170-9445

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundHemophagocytic Lymphohistiocytosis (HLH) is a type of rare disease with low survival rate. We aimed to develop a model to evaluate the six-month prognosis in adult HLH patients. The data at discharge (will be called as post-treatment) for newly diagnosed adult HLH patients was collected and independent prognostic variables were selected for inclusion in the model.

resultsThree laboratory markers were confirmed to be the independent risk factors (ferritin: hazard ratio (HR) 0.101, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.036-0.282, P<0.001; platelets: HR 4.799, 95% CI 1.884-12.223, P = 0.001; alanine aminotransferase (ALT): HR 0.423, 95% CI 0.180-0.997, P = 0.049). These were included in the final clinical prediction model. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves disclosed that this model had a better discrimination (area under the curve (AUC) = 0.842, 95% CI 0.773-0.910, P < 0.001) than each of them alone and the calibration curves aligned completely with the model predictions and actual observations. Kaplan-Meier curves revealed a significant difference in the overall survival (OS) in patients stratified by the model with higher values associated with a better OS.

conclusionThese results point out that serum ferritin, platelets and ALT levels are independent elements of OS in adult patients with HLH, and that the proposed model have a better prognostic value than any of these markers alone.

Indexed as

Lymphohistiocytosis, HemophagocyticAdultHumansModels, StatisticalPrognosisProportional Hazards ModelsRetrospective StudiesROC CurveFerritinHemophagocytic LymphohistiocytosisModelOverall survivalPrognosis

Identifiers

PMID32819431
PMCPMC7439554

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.