ArticleTransboundary and emerging diseases2021
A stochastic simulation model of African swine fever transmission in domestic pig farms in the Red River Delta region in Vietnam.
Article in Transboundary and emerging diseases, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers.
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Who cites it
16 citing papers in PubMed.
- Modelling African Swine Fever Transmission and Epidemiology: A Scoping Review of Mechanistic, Statistical, and Machine Learning Approaches.Tropical medicine and infectious disease · 2026Review
- Active Participatory Surveillance for Early Detection of Notifiable Pathogens: A Case Study of the U.S. Swine Industry.Viruses · 2026Article
- A spatiotemporal analysis of the spread of African swine fever in Vietnam in 2019.Frontiers in veterinary science · 2026Article
- The evolving landscape of African swine fever: the game-changing impact of recombinant genotype I/II on Asia-Pacific control strategies.Frontiers in veterinary science · 2026Article
- Epidemiology and Control of African Swine Fever in Vietnam: A Scoping Review.Pathogens (Basel, Switzerland) · 2025Article
- Pathobiological analysis of african swine fever virus contact-exposed pigs and estimation of the basic reproduction number of the virus in Vietnam.Porcine health management · 2023Article
- Innovative Research Offers New Hope for Managing African Swine Fever Better in Resource-Limited Smallholder Farming Settings: A Timely Update.Pathogens (Basel, Switzerland) · 2023Review
- Simulating the Spread of Peste des Petits Ruminants in Kazakhstan Using the North American Animal Disease Spread Model.Transboundary and emerging diseases · 2023Article
- Spatiotemporal Analysis and Assessment of Risk Factors in Transmission of African Swine Fever Along the Major Pig Value Chain in Lao Cai Province, Vietnam.Frontiers in veterinary science · 2022Article
- Implications of partial culling on African swine fever control effectiveness in Vietnam.Frontiers in veterinary science · 2022Article
- Dynamic Variations in Infrared Skin Temperature of Weaned Pigs Experimentally Inoculated with the African Swine Fever Virus: A Pilot Study.Veterinary sciences · 2021Article
- Pathogenicity of an African swine fever virus strain isolated in Vietnam and alternative diagnostic specimens for early detection of viral infection.Porcine health management · 2021Article
- A stochastic simulation model of African swine fever transmission in domestic pig farms in the Red River Delta region in Vietnam.Transboundary and emerging diseases · 2021Article
- Modeling the Spread of Porcine Reproductive and Respiratory Syndrome Among Pig Farms in Lira District of Northern Uganda.Frontiers in veterinary science · 2021Article
- A stochastic network-based model to simulate farm-level transmission of African swine fever virus in Vietnam.PloS one · 2021Article
- African swine fever detection and transmission estimates using homogeneous versus heterogeneous model formulation in stochastic simulations within pig premises.Open veterinary journalArticle
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Authors and funding
8 authors.
Funding
Abstract
The main objectives of this study were to model various scenarios of African swine fever (ASF) virus transmission among farms in Vietnam and to evaluate the impact of control strategies using North American Animal Disease Spread Model (NAADSM). A total of 7,882 pig farms in the Red River Delta (RRD) region were obtained from the General Statistics Office, and then, random points corresponding to the number of farms in each province were generated as exact farm locations were not available. A total of 10 models were developed, including movement control scenarios. In addition, we conducted sensitivity analysis to assess the impact of indirect contact transmission probability (TP). Overall, the indirect contact exhibited an important role in transmitting the ASF virus. In order to minimize ASF transmission between farms, we found that movement restriction needed to reach a certain level (approximately between 50% and 75%) and that the restriction had to be applied in a timely manner. This study offers valuable insight into how ASF virus can be transmitted via direct and indirect contact and controlled among farms under the various simulation scenarios. Our results suggest that the enforcement of movement restriction was an effective control measure as soon as the outbreaks were reported. In addition, this study provided evidence that high standards of biosecurity can contribute to the reduction of disease spread.
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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.