Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32810192›Full record

ArticlePloS one2020

The weakness of fragility index exposed in an analysis of the traumatic brain injury management guidelines: A meta-epidemiological and simulation study.

Thomas M Condon, Richard W Sexton, Adam J Wells, Minh-Son To

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in PloS one, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
1.3field-weighted citation impact, top 16% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 29 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Pooled it
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Review
  7. Review
  8. Article
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  10. Article
  11. Fragility indices for only sufficiently likely modifications.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2021
    Article
  12. Review
  13. How Robust are the Evidences that Formulate Surviving Sepsis Guidelines? An Analysis of Fragility and Reverse Fragility of Randomized Controlled Trials that were Referred in these Guidelines.Indian journal of critical care medicine : peer-reviewed, official publication of Indian Society of Critical Care Medicine · 2021
    Article
  14. Review
  15. Beyond the Fragility Index.Pharmaceutical statistics
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Thomas M CondonDepartment of Intensive Care Medicine, Royal Adelaide Hospital, Adelaide, South Australia, Australia.
Richard W SextonDepartment of Emergency Medicine, Lyell McEwin Hospital, Elizabeth Vale, South Australia, Australia.
Adam J WellsFaculty of Health and Medical Sciences, The University of Adelaide, Adelaide, South Australia, Australia.
Minh-Son ToDivision of Surgery and Perioperative Medicine, Flinders Medical Centre, Bedford Park, South Australia, Australia.ORCID 0000-0002-8060-6218
Royal Adelaide Hospital · AUFlinders University · AULyell McEwin Hospital · AU

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesTo perform fragility index (FI) analysis on the evidence that forms the basis of the guidelines for the management of severe traumatic brain injury (TBI), and develop a deeper understanding of the pitfalls associated with FI.

designMeta-epidemiological analysis and numerical simulations.

methodsThe Brain Trauma Foundation guidelines (4th edition) for management of severe TBI were used to identify relevant randomised controlled trials (RCTs). FI based on Fisher's exact test and relative risk was performed on eligible RCTs. The relationship between FI, event counts and P values was explored by exhaustively considering different combinations of outcomes for studies of total size ranging from 80 to 10000. Sample size calculations were also performed for a range of power, baseline risk and relative risk, to determine the influence of study design on FI.

resultsFI analysis of the severe TBI management guidelines revealed that most studies were associated with a low FI. In the majority of studies, FI was of a similar magnitude to the number lost to follow-up. The simulations revealed that while FI was inversely related to P value, a wide range of FI may be associated with a given P value. FI is also affected by sample size, baseline risk and effect size. Sample size calculations suggest that aside from very high-powered studies, most are likely to yield low FI values in the range typically encountered in the literature.

conclusionsMany studies are underpowered and are expected to be associated with a small FI. Furthermore, FI over-simplifies the complex, non-linear relationships between sample size, effect size and P value, which hinder comparisons of FI between studies. FI places undue importance on the "significance" of P values and accordingly should only be used sparingly.

Indexed as

Computer SimulationPractice Guidelines as TopicBrain Injuries, TraumaticClinical Trials as TopicHumansSample Size

Identifiers

PMID32810192
PMCPMC7433866
OpenAlexW3070806977

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.