Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32809043›Full record

ArticleOsteoporosis international : a journal established as result of cooperation between the European Foundation for Osteoporosis and the National Osteoporosis Foundation of the USA2021

Fracture prediction from FRAX for Canadian ethnic groups: a registry-based cohort study.

W D Leslie, S N Morin, L M Lix, E V McCloskey, H Johansson, N C Harvey, J A Kanis

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Osteoporosis international : a journal established as result of cooperation between the European Foundation for Osteoporosis and the National Osteoporosis Foundation of the USA, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 18 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
18citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
3.7field-weighted citation impact, top 6% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

18 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 24 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Recommendations on screening for primary prevention of fragility fractures.CMAJ : Canadian Medical Association journal = journal de l'Association medicale canadienne · 2023
    Guideline
  2. Pooled it
  3. Article
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  5. Approach to osteoporosis diagnosis and fracture risk management in primary care.Canadian family physician Medecin de famille canadien · 2026
    Review
  6. Review
  7. Geographic variation in bone mineral density and prevalent fractures in the Canadian longitudinal study on aging.Osteoporosis international : a journal established as result of cooperation between the European Foundation for Osteoporosis and the National Osteoporosis Foundation of the USA · 2024
    Article
  8. Women's perspectives regarding osteoporosis, fracture risk, and pharmacologic treatment: a cross-sectional study.Osteoporosis international : a journal established as result of cooperation between the European Foundation for Osteoporosis and the National Osteoporosis Foundation of the USA · 2023
    Article
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  11. CMAJ : Canadian Medical Association journal = journal de l'Association medicale canadienne · 2023
    Article
  12. Race/ethnic differences in the prevalence of osteoporosis, falls and fractures: a cross-sectional analysis of the Canadian Longitudinal Study on Aging.Osteoporosis international : a journal established as result of cooperation between the European Foundation for Osteoporosis and the National Osteoporosis Foundation of the USA · 2022
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 5 institutions in 3 countries.

W D LeslieUniversity of Manitoba, Winnipeg, Canada. bleslie@sbgh.mb.ca.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1056-1691
S N MorinMcGill University, Montreal, Canada.
L M LixUniversity of Manitoba, Winnipeg, Canada.
E V McCloskeyCentre for Metabolic Bone Diseases, University of Sheffield Medical School, Sheffield, UK.
H JohanssonCentre for Metabolic Bone Diseases, University of Sheffield Medical School, Sheffield, UK.
N C HarveyMRC Lifecourse Epidemiology Unit, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK.
J A KanisCentre for Metabolic Bone Diseases, University of Sheffield Medical School, Sheffield, UK.
Australian Catholic University · AUUniversity of Manitoba · CAMcGill University · CAUniversity Hospital Southampton NHS Foundation Trust · GBUniversity of Sheffield · GB

Funding

Medical Research Council MC_PC_21003Medical Research Council MC_UU_12011/1Versus Arthritis 17702Versus Arthritis 21231
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

We identified large between-ethnicity calibration differences in the Canadian FRAX® tool which substantially overestimated the major osteoporotic fracture (MOF) risk in Asian women and Black women, and overestimated hip fracture risk in Asian women. PURPOSE: FRAX® is calibrated using population-specific fracture and mortality data. The need for FRAX to accommodate ethnic diversity within a country is uncertain. We addressed this question using the population-based Manitoba Bone Mineral Density (BMD) Program registry and self-reported ethnicity.

methodsThe study population was women aged 40 years or older with baseline FRAX assessments (Canadian and other ethnic calculators), fracture outcomes, and self-reported ethnicity (White N = 68,907 [referent], Asian N = 1910, Black N = 356). Adjusted hazard ratios (HR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) for time to MOF and hip fracture were estimated. We examined candidate variables from DXA that might contribute to ethnic differences including skeletal size, hip axis length (HAL), trabecular bone score (TBS), and estimated body composition.

resultsAdjusted for baseline risk using the Canadian FRAX tool with BMD, Asian women compared with White women were at much lower risk for MOF (HR 0.46, 95% CI 0.35-0.59) and hip fracture (0.16, 95% CI 0.08-0.34). Black women were also at lower MOF risk (HR 0.58, 95% CI 0.32-1.00); there were no hip fractures. The US ethnic-specific FRAX calculators accounted for most of the between-ethnicity differences in MOF risk (86% for Asian, 92% for Black) but only partially accounted for lower hip fracture risk in Asian women (40%). The candidate variables explained only a minority of the effect of ethnicity. Gradient of risk in analyses was similar (p-interactions ethnicity*FRAX non-significant).

conclusionsWe identified significant ethnic differences in performance of the Canadian FRAX tool with fracture probability overestimated among Asian and Black women. The US ethnic calculators helped to address this discrepancy for MOF risk assessment, but not for hip fracture risk among Asian women.

Indexed as

Hip FracturesOsteoporotic FracturesAbsorptiometry, PhotonAdultBone DensityCanadaCohort StudiesEthnicityFemaleHumansManitobaRegistriesRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsDual-energy x-ray absorptiometryethnicityfracturesFRAXosteoporosis

Identifiers

PMID32809043
PMCPMC7611612
OpenAlexW3080424822

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.