Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32807810›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2020

Campylobacter infections expected to increase due to climate change in Northern Europe.

Katrin Gaardbo Kuhn, Karin Maria Nygård, Bernardo Guzman-Herrador, Linda Selje Sunde, Ruska Rimhanen-Finne, Linda Trönnberg, Martin Rudbeck Jepsen, Reija Ruuhela, Wai Kwok Wong, Steen Ethelberg

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 37 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
37citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
3.4field-weighted citation impact, top 7% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

37 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 87 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. The Impact ofInternational journal of environmental research and public health · 2024
    Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Association between heavy rainfall and flooding events and infectious diseases in Europe: a rapid review, 2018 to 2025.Euro surveillance : bulletin Europeen sur les maladies transmissibles = European communicable disease bulletin · 2026
    Review
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. The European Union One Health 2024 Zoonoses Report.EFSA journal. European Food Safety Authority · 2025
    Article
  8. Review
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Review
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Review
  16. When It Rains It Pours:Environmental health perspectives · 2025
    Article
  17. Review
  18. Review
  19. The European Union One Health 2023 Zoonoses report.EFSA journal. European Food Safety Authority · 2024
    Article
  20. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

10 authors at 7 institutions in 4 countries.

Katrin Gaardbo KuhnInfectious Disease Epidemiology and Prevention, Statens Serum Institut, Artillerivej 5, Copenhagen, Denmark. kuh@ssi.dk.
Karin Maria NygårdDepartment of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Norwegian Institute of Public Health, Oslo, Norway.
Bernardo Guzman-HerradorDepartment of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Norwegian Institute of Public Health, Oslo, Norway.
Linda Selje SundeDepartment of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, Norwegian Institute of Public Health, Oslo, Norway.
Ruska Rimhanen-FinneDepartment of Health Security, National Institute for Health and Welfare, Helsinki, Finland.
Linda TrönnbergDepartment of Monitoring and Evaluation, Public Health Agency of Sweden, Solna, Sweden.
Martin Rudbeck JepsenSection for Geography, IGN, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark.
Reija RuuhelaWeather and Climate Change Impact Research, Finnish Meteorological Institute, Helsinki, Finland.
Wai Kwok WongDepartment of Hydrology, Norwegian Water Resources and Energy Directorate, Oslo, Norway.
Steen EthelbergInfectious Disease Epidemiology and Prevention, Statens Serum Institut, Artillerivej 5, Copenhagen, Denmark.
Norwegian Institute of Public Health · NOStatens Serum Institut · DKFinnish Institute for Health and Welfare · FIFinnish Meteorological Institute · FINorsk Hydro (Norway) · NOPublic Health Agency of Sweden · SEUniversity of Copenhagen · DK

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Global climate change is predicted to alter precipitation and temperature patterns across the world, affecting a range of infectious diseases and particularly foodborne infections such as Campylobacter. In this study, we used national surveillance data to analyse the relationship between climate and campylobacteriosis in Denmark, Finland, Norway and Sweden and estimate the impact of climate changes on future disease patterns. We show that Campylobacter incidences are linked to increases in temperature and especially precipitation in the week before illness, suggesting a non-food transmission route. These four countries may experience a doubling of Campylobacter cases by the end of the 2080s, corresponding to around 6,000 excess cases per year caused only by climate changes. Considering the strong worldwide burden of campylobacteriosis, it is important to assess local and regional impacts of climate change in order to initiate timely public health management and adaptation strategies.

Indexed as

Climate ChangeCampylobacter InfectionsData AnalysisEpidemiological MonitoringEuropeFemaleFoodborne DiseasesHumansIncidenceMaleTemperatureUnited StatesUnited States Public Health Service

Identifiers

PMID32807810
PMCPMC7431569
OpenAlexW3049187845

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.