Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32807802›Full record

ArticleScientific reports2020

Socio-economic, built environment, and mobility conditions associated with crime: a study of multiple cities.

Marco De Nadai, Yanyan Xu, Emmanuel Letouzé, Marta C González, Bruno Lepri

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Scientific reports, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 20 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
20citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

20 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Review
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  12. Review
  13. Investigating the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on crime incidents number in different cities.Journal of safety science and resilience = An quan ke xue yu ren xing (Ying wen) · 2022
    Article
  14. How Neighborhood Characteristics Influence Neighborhood Crimes: A Bayesian Hierarchical Spatial Analysis.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022
    Article
  15. Mobility, Nonstationary Density, and Robbery Distribution in the Tourist Metropolis.European journal on criminal policy and research · 2022
    Article
  16. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Marco De NadaiDepartment of Information Engineering and Computer Science, University of Trento, Via Sommarive, 9I, 38123, Povo, TN, Italy. denadai@fbk.eu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-8466-3933
Yanyan XuDepartment of City and Regional Planning and Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of California Berkeley, 230 Wurster Hall #1820, Berkeley, CA, 94720-1820, USA.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-5429-3177
Emmanuel LetouzéData-pop Alliance, 99 Madison Avenue, New York, NY, 10016, USA.
Marta C GonzálezDepartment of City and Regional Planning and Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of California Berkeley, 230 Wurster Hall #1820, Berkeley, CA, 94720-1820, USA.
Bruno LepriMobs Lab, Fondazione Bruno Kessler, Via Sommarive 18, 38123, Povo, TN, Italy.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Nowadays, 23% of the world population lives in multi-million cities. In these metropolises, criminal activity is much higher and violent than in either small cities or rural areas. Thus, understanding what factors influence urban crime in big cities is a pressing need. Seminal studies analyse crime records through historical panel data or analysis of historical patterns combined with ecological factor and exploratory mapping. More recently, machine learning methods have provided informed crime prediction over time. However, previous studies have focused on a single city at a time, considering only a limited number of factors (such as socio-economical characteristics) and often at large in a single city. Hence, our understanding of the factors influencing crime across cultures and cities is very limited. Here we propose a Bayesian model to explore how violent and property crimes are related not only to socio-economic factors but also to the built environmental (e.g. land use) and mobility characteristics of neighbourhoods. To that end, we analyse crime at small areas and integrate multiple open data sources with mobile phone traces to compare how the different factors correlate with crime in diverse cities, namely Boston, Bogotá, Los Angeles and Chicago. We find that the combined use of socio-economic conditions, mobility information and physical characteristics of the neighbourhood effectively explain the emergence of crime, and improve the performance of the traditional approaches. However, we show that the socio-ecological factors of neighbourhoods relate to crime very differently from one city to another. Thus there is clearly no "one fits all" model.

Indexed as

Built EnvironmentSocioeconomic FactorsUrban PopulationBayes TheoremBostonChicagoColombiaCrimeCultureHumansLos AngelesResidence CharacteristicsSocial Environment

Identifiers

PMID32807802
PMCPMC7431538

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.