Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32798858›Full record

ArticleThe Science of the total environment2020

To avoid the noncausal association between environmental factor and COVID-19 when using aggregated data: Simulation-based counterexamples for demonstration.

Shi Zhao

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The Science of the total environment, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 7 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
7citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

7 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

1 author.

Shi ZhaoJC School of Public Health and Primary Care, Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China; CUHK Shenzhen Research Institute, Shenzhen, China. Electronic address: zhaoshi.cmsa@gmail.com.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

In the infectious disease epidemiology, the association between an independent factor and disease incidence (or death) counts may fail to infer the association with disease transmission (or mortality risk). To explore the underlying role of environmental factors in the course of COVID-19 epidemic, the importance of following the epidemiological metric's definition and systematic analytical procedures are highlighted. Cautiousness needs to be taken when understanding the outcome association based on the aggregated data, and overinterpretation should be avoided. The existing analytical approaches to address the inferential failure mentioned in this study are also discussed.

Indexed as

BetacoronavirusCoronavirus InfectionsEnvironmentPandemicsPneumonia, ViralCausalityCOVID-19Data Interpretation, StatisticalHumansSARS-CoV-2COVID-19EpidemicModellingReproduction numberStatistical inference

Identifiers

PMID32798858
PMCPMC7415212

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.