Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32798099›Full record

ArticleThe Journal of adolescent health : official publication of the Society for Adolescent Medicine2021

Modeling the Impact of PrEP Programs for Adolescent Sexual Minority Males Based on Empirical Estimates for the PrEP Continuum of Care.

Deven T Hamilton, Eli S Rosenberg, Patrick S Sullivan, Li Yan Wang, Richard L Dunville, Lisa C Barrios, Maria Aslam, Brian Mustanski, Steven M Goodreau

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in The Journal of adolescent health : official publication of the Society for Adolescent Medicine, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
0.4field-weighted citation impact, top 23% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 23 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. A Review of Network Models for HIV Spread.Journal of acquired immune deficiency syndromes (1999) · 2025
    Pooled it
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 5 institutions in 1 country.

Deven T HamiltonCenter for Studies in Demography and Ecology, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington. Electronic address: dth2@uw.edu.
Eli S RosenbergDepartment of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University at Albany School of Public Health, State University of New York, Rensselaer, New York.
Patrick S SullivanDepartment of Epidemiology, Emory University, Atlanta, Georgia; Department of Global Health, Emory University, Atlanta, Georgia.
Li Yan WangDivision of Adolescent and School Health, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia.
Richard L DunvilleDivision of Adolescent and School Health, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia.
Lisa C BarriosDivision of Adolescent and School Health, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia.
Maria AslamProgram and Performance Improvement Office, National Center for HIV, Viral Hepatitis, STD, and TB Prevention, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia.
Brian MustanskiInstitute for Sexual and Gender Minority Health and Wellbeing and Department of Medical Social Sciences, Northwestern University, Chicago, Illinois.
Steven M GoodreauCenter for Studies in Demography and Ecology, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington; Department of Anthropology, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington.
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention · USUniversity of Washington · USEmory University · USNorthwestern University · USUniversity at Albany, State University of New York · US

Funding

Virology and Molecular Biomarkers CoreP30AI050409 · NIAID · EMORY UNIVERSITY · PI Ann M Chahroudi, Colleen F Kelley · 2002 to 2026
$74.0M
The RADAR cohort study of multilevel Influences on HIV and substance useU01DA036939 · NIDA · NORTHWESTERN UNIVERSITY AT CHICAGO · PI Brian Mustanski, Michael E Newcomb · 2014 to 2026
$29.5M
Methods and Data CoreR24HD042828 · NICHD · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI TOLNAY, STEWART E · 2002 to 2016
$9.3M
Scientific/Technical CoreP2CHD042828 · NICHD · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI SARA R. CURRAN · 2017 to 2026
$6.3M
Statistical Methods for Network EpidemiologyR01HD068395 · NICHD · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI MORRIS, WANDA MARTINA · 2011 to 2015
$3.0M
ENHANCING MODELS OF HIV, VIRAL HEPATITIS, STIs, AND TUBERCULOSIS TO INFORM AND IMPROVE PUBLIC HEALTH IMPACTU38PS004646 · PS · EMORY UNIVERSITY · PI SULLIVAN, PATRICK · 2014 to 2015
$2.9M
Using Sexual Network Transmission Models to Explain HIV Disparities Between BlackR21HD075662 · NICHD · UNIVERSITY OF WASHINGTON · PI GOODREAU, STEVEN M. · 2013 to 2014
$418k
NCHHSTP CDC HHS U38 PS004646NIAID NIH HHS P30 AI050409NICHD NIH HHS P2C HD042828NICHD NIH HHS R01 HD068395NICHD NIH HHS R21 HD075662NICHD NIH HHS R24 HD042828NIDA NIH HHS U01 DA036939
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposePre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP)-an effective and safe intervention to prevent HIV transmission-was recently approved by the Food and Drug Administration for use by adolescents. Informed by studies of sexual behavior and PrEP adherence, retention, and promotion, we model the potential impact of PrEP use among at-risk adolescent sexual minority males.

methodsWe simulate an HIV epidemic among men who have sex with men (MSM) aged 13-39. We assume adult MSM ages 19-39 have had PrEP available for 3 years with 20% coverage among eligible MSM based on the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention guidelines. PrEP interventions for ages 16-18 are then simulated using adherence and retention profiles drawn from the ATN113 and Enhancing Preexposure Prophylaxis in Community studies across a range of uptake parameters (10%-100%). Partnerships across age groups were modeled using parameterizations from the RADAR study. We compare the percent of incident infections averted (impact), person-years on PrEP per infection averted (efficiency), and changes in prevalence over 10 years.

resultsAs compared to no PrEP use, baseline PrEP adherence and retention among adolescent sexual minority males drawn from the ATN113 and Enhancing Preexposure Prophylaxis in Community studies averted from 2.8% to 41.0% of HIV infections depending on the fraction of eligible adolescent sexual minority males that initiated PrEP at their annual health-care visit. Improved adherence and retention achieved with an array of focused interventions from real-world settings increased the percent of infections averted by as much as 26%-70%.

conclusionsEmpirically demonstrated improvements in the PrEP continuum of care in response to existing interventions can substantially reduce incident HIV infections among adolescent sexual minority males.

Indexed as

Anti-HIV AgentsHIV InfectionsPre-Exposure ProphylaxisSexual and Gender MinoritiesAdolescentAdultContinuity of Patient CareHomosexuality, MaleHumansMaleYoung AdultAnti-HIV AgentsAdolescent sexual minorityAgent-based network modelHIVPre-exposure prophylaxis

Identifiers

PMID32798099
PMCPMC7876162
OpenAlexW3048440126

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.