Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32786054›Full record

ArticleIntegrated environmental assessment and management2021

Application of General Unified Threshold Models of Survival Models for Regulatory Aquatic Pesticide Risk Assessment Illustrated with an Example for the Insecticide Chlorpyrifos.

Theo Brock, Maria Arena, Nina Cedergreen, Sandrine Charles, Sabine Duquesne, Alessio Ippolito, Michael Klein, Melissa Reed, Ivana Teodorovic, Paul J van den Brink and 1 more

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Integrated environmental assessment and management, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
5citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

5 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Theo BrockWageningen Environmental Research, Wageningen, the Netherlands.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-1842-1597
Maria ArenaEuropean Food Safety Authority, Parma, Italy.
Nina CedergreenUniversity of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark.
Sandrine CharlesUniversity of Lyon, Lyon, France.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4604-0166
Sabine DuquesneUmweltbundesamt, Dessau, Germany.
Alessio IppolitoEuropean Food Safety Authority, Parma, Italy.
Michael KleinFraunhofer IME, Schmallenberg, Germany.
Melissa ReedChemicals Regulation Division-HSE, York, United Kingdom.
Ivana TeodorovicUniversity of Novi Sad, Novi Sad, Serbia.
Paul J van den BrinkWageningen University, Wageningen, the Netherlands.
Andreas FocksWageningen Environmental Research, Wageningen, the Netherlands.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-9031-0808

Funding

Dutch Ministry of Agriculture, Nature and Food Quality BO-20-0002-001EUR H2O'Lyon ANR-17-EURE-0018
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Mathematical models within the General Unified Threshold models of Survival (GUTS) framework translate time-variable chemical exposure information into expected survival of animals. The GUTS models are species and compound specific and explicitly describe the internal exposure dynamics in an organism (toxicokinetics) and the related damage and effect dynamics (toxicodynamics), thereby connecting the external exposure concentration dynamics with the simulated mortality or immobility over time. In a recent scientific opinion on toxicokinetic-toxicodynamic (TKTD) models published by the European Food Safety Authority (EFSA), the GUTS modeling framework was considered ready for use in the aquatic risk assessment for pesticides and aquatic fauna. The GUTS models are suggested for use in risk assessment, if they are sufficiently validated for a specific substance-species combination. This paper aims to illustrate how they can be used in the regulatory environmental risk assessment for pesticides for a specific type of refinement, that is, when risks are triggered by lower tiers in acute as well as in chronic risk assessment and mortality or immobility is the critical endpoint. This approach involves the evaluation of time-variable exposure regimes in a so-called "Tier-2C" assessment. The insecticide chlorpyrifos was selected as an example compound because a large data set was available. The GUTS models for 13 different freshwater arthropods and 8 different theoretical aquatic exposure profiles were used to calculate a series of GUTS-based risk estimates, including exposure profile-specific multiplication factors leading to 50% mortality or immobility at the end of the tested profile (LP50/EP50) as "margins of safety." To put the use of GUTS models within the tiered aquatic risk assessment into perspective, GUTS models for the 13 aquatic arthropods were also used to predict the environmental risks of a measured chlorpyrifos exposure profile from an experimental ditch study (Tier-3 approach), and the results are discussed in the context of calibration of the tiered approach. Integr Environ Assess Manag 2021;17:243-258. © 2020 The Authors. Integrated Environmental Assessment and Management published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of Society of Environmental Toxicology & Chemistry (SETAC).

Indexed as

ChlorpyrifosInsecticidesPesticidesWater Pollutants, ChemicalAnimalsRisk AssessmentSurvival AnalysisToxicokineticsChlorpyrifosInsecticidesPesticidesWater Pollutants, ChemicalChlorpyrifosGUTSPesticide risk assessmentTime-variable exposureToxicokinetic-toxicodynamic modeling

Identifiers

PMID32786054
PMCPMC7821141

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.