ArticleInternational journal of environmental research and public health2020
Modelling the Relationship between Match Outcome and Match Performances during the 2019 FIBA Basketball World Cup: A Quantile Regression Analysis.
Article in International journal of environmental research and public health, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers.
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16 citing papers in PubMed.
- Winning beyond scoring: an explainable machine learning framework for identifying key performance indicators in the Chinese Basketball Association.BMC sports science, medicine & rehabilitation · 2026Article
- Team performance evaluation in the 2025 FIBA Men's Asia Cup: an entropy-weighted rank-sum ratio analysis with a case study of the China-Australia final.Frontiers in sports and active living · 2026Article
- Explaining basketball game performance with SHAP: insights from Chinese Basketball Association.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- Modelling of ankle joint range of motion and landing quality scores in female soccer players with quantile regression approach.PloS one · 2025Article
- Key factors and tactical variations in Chinese national women's softball games: a machine learning-based identification.Frontiers in sports and active living · 2025Article
- Subjective mental fatigue ratings are not associated with basketball game-related statistics during official semiprofessional male games.Frontiers in psychology · 2025Article
- Integration of machine learning XGBoost and SHAP models for NBA game outcome prediction and quantitative analysis methodology.PloS one · 2024Article
- Influence of game and quarter results on external peak demands during games in under-18 years, male basketball players.Biology of sport · 2023Article
- Examining the psychometric properties of the Coach-Athlete Relationship Questionnaire (CART-Q) with basketball players in China and Spain.Frontiers in psychology · 2023Article
- Ball Screens in the Men's 2019 Basketball World Cup.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022Article
- Bounded Rationality and Heuristics: Do We Only Need to Score in Order to Win Individual Awards in Basketball?International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022Article
- Clustering Performances in Elite Basketball Matches According to the Anthropometric Features of the Line-ups Based on Big Data Technology.Frontiers in psychology · 2022Article
- Prediction of Offensive Possession Ends in Elite Basketball Teams.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2021Article
- Influence of Strength Programs on the Injury Rate and Team Performance of a Professional Basketball Team: A Six-Season Follow-Up Study.Frontiers in psychology · 2021Article
- Biomechanical Loads and Their Effects on Player Performance in NCAA D-I Male Basketball Games.Frontiers in sports and active living · 2021Article
- Modeling the Keys to Team's Success in the Women's Chinese Basketball Association.Frontiers in psychology · 2021Article
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6 authors.
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Abstract
The FIBA Basketball World Cup is one of the most prominent sporting competitions for men's basketball, with coaches interested in key performance indicators (KPIs) that give a better understanding of basketball competitions. The aims of the study were to (1) examine the relationship between match KPIs and outcome in elite men's basketball; and (2) identify the most suitable analysis (multiple linear regression (MLR) vs. quantile regression (QR)) to model this relationship during the men's basketball tournament. A total of 184 performance records from 92 games were selected and analyzed via MLR and QR, using 10th, 25th, 50th, 75th and 90th quantiles. Several offensive (Paint Score, Mid-Range Score, Three-Point Score, Offensive Rebounds and Turnovers) and defensive (Defensive Rebounds, Steals and Personal Fouls) KPIs were associated with match outcome. The QR model identified additional KPIs that influenced match outcome than the MLR model, with these being Mid-Range Score at the 10th quantile and Offensive Rebounds at the 90th quantile. In terms of contextual variables, the quality of opponent had no impact on match outcome across the entire range of quantiles. Our results highlight QR modelling as a potentially superior tool for performance analysts and coaches to design and monitor technical-tactical plans during match-play. Our study has identified the KPIs contributing to match success at the 2019 FIBA Basketball World Cup with QR modelling assisting with a more detailed performance analysis, to support coaches with the optimization of training and match-play styles.
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