ArticleAddiction & health2020
An Estimation of Drug-Related Deaths in Iran, Using the Capture-Recapture Method (2014-2016).
Article in Addiction & health, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 5 papers.
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5 citing papers in PubMed, 10 citations in OpenAlex.
- Characteristics and risk factors of opioid poisoning in opioid-dependent individuals using their primary opioid of dependence: a registry-based study.International journal of emergency medicine · 2025Article
- Sociodemographic and Toxico-clinical Characteristics of Patients with Opioid/Stimulant Poisoning.Addiction & health · 2025Article
- Time Series Modeling and Forecasting of Drug-Related Deaths in Iran (2014-2016).Addiction & health · 2023Article
- Prevalence of and Factors Influencing Suicide Ideation, Attempt, and Completion in Heroin Users: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.Addiction & health · 2023Review
- Drug-related Death low Registration in Iran: A Mixed Method Approach for Causes, Recommendations to Solve This Problem and Geographical Evaluation of an Intervention.Addiction & health · 2022Article
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7 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.
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Abstract
backgroundThe Ministry of Health and Medical Education (MOHME) and the Legal Medicine Organization (LMO) are the 2 death registration systems in Iran for registering drug-related deaths. The aim of the present study was to assess the number of undercount and the overlap between the deaths registered by the 2 sources.
methodsIn this descriptive study, according to the ý10th revision of the International Classification of Diseases ý(ICD-10), the registered data on drug-related deaths in the years 2014-2016, as recorded by the MOHME and the LMO, were collected and the number of deaths was estimated using 2-source capture-recapture method and Excel and SPSS software.
findingsThe total number of drug-related deaths, as registered by the 2 sources, was 8639 during the 3 years. A major part of the drug-related deaths (75% of the data) had been registered by the LMO and only 25% of deaths had been registered by the MOHME. There was also a small overlap (7.7% of deaths) between the data from the 2 sources. The final estimation from the capture-recapture model and analysis of sensitivity showed that, during the 3 years, the total number of drug-related deaths was 14517 [95% confidence interval (CI):14498-14558]. Based on the complete overlap assumption and 50% of unidentified individuals in the 2 sources, the number of deaths was estimated at 11341 and 12418, respectively. The largest number of drug-related deaths had occurred within the age range of 25-39 years and in men. Kermanshah, Hamedan, and Zanjan Provinces (Iran) had the largest number of cumulative incidences of drug-related deaths. Based on the data provided by the MOHME, the most common cause of death was Methadone poisoning.
conclusionThere was a small overlap between the MOHME and the LMO in the registration of drug-related deaths. Failure to enter accurate and correct information has led to miscalculations of these deaths in Iran.
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