ArticlePloS one2020
Modeling the role of asymptomatics in infection spread with application to SARS-CoV-2.
Article in PloS one, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers.
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Who cites it
16 citing papers in PubMed.
- Epidemic spread with asymptomatic infectious period in contact adaptive networks.Scientific reports · 2026Article
- Evaluating the effectiveness of different intervention measures for an outbreak of mycoplasma pneumoniae in hangzhou based on a dynamic model.Scientific reports · 2025Article
- Study of optimal vaccination strategies for early COVID-19 pandemic using an age-structured mathematical model: A case study of the USA.Mathematical biosciences and engineering : MBE · 2023Article
- The dynamics of novel corona virus disease via stochastic epidemiological model with vaccination.Scientific reports · 2023Article
- Mathematical modeling to study the impact of immigration on the dynamics of the COVID-19 pandemic: A case study for Venezuela.Spatial and spatio-temporal epidemiology · 2022Article
- Correlated stochastic epidemic model for the dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 with vaccination.Scientific reports · 2022Article
- Epidemiological Consequences of Viral Interference: A Mathematical Modeling Study of Two Interacting Viruses.Frontiers in microbiology · 2022Article
- Analysis of Delayed Vaccination Regimens: A Mathematical Modeling Approach.Epidemiologia (Basel, Switzerland) · 2021Article
- Collaborative and Structured Network for Maintenance of Mechanical Ventilators during the SARS-CoV-2 Pandemic.Healthcare (Basel, Switzerland) · 2021Article
- Analysis of Key Factors of a SARS-CoV-2 Vaccination Program: A Mathematical Modeling Approach.Epidemiologia (Basel, Switzerland) · 2021Article
- Predicting the cumulative medical load of COVID-19 outbreaks after the peak in daily fatalities.PloS one · 2021Article
- Article
- Policy liberalism and source of news predict pandemic-related health behaviors and trust in the scientific community.PloS one · 2021Article
- Article
- Taking account of asymptomatic infections: A modeling study of the COVID-19 outbreak on the Diamond Princess cruise ship.PloS one · 2021Article
- Creating and applying SIR modified compartmental model for calculation of COVID-19 lockdown efficiency.Chaos, solitons, and fractals · 2020Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
1 author.
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No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
SARS-CoV-2 started causing infections in humans in late 2019 and has spread rapidly around the world. While the number of symptomatically infected and severely ill people is high and has overwhelmed the medical systems of many countries, there is mounting evidence that some of the rapid spread of this virus has been driven by asymptomatic infections. In this study, we use a compartmental mathematical model of a viral epidemic that includes asymptomatic infection to examine the role of asymptomatic individuals in the spread of the infection. We apply the model to epidemics in California, Florida, New York, and Texas, finding that asymptomatic infections far outnumber reported symptomatic infections at the peak of the epidemic in all four states. The model suggests that relaxing of social distancing measures too quickly could lead to a rapid rise in the number of cases, driven in part by asymptomatic infections.
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