Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32771304›Full record

ArticleMathematical biosciences2020

Modeling the viral dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 infection.

Sunpeng Wang, Yang Pan, Quanyi Wang, Hongyu Miao, Ashley N Brown, Libin Rong

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Mathematical biosciences, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 73 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
73citing papers in PubMed
3.2field-weighted citation impact, top 5% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

73 citing papers in PubMed, 178 citations in OpenAlex.

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  11. The kinetics of SARS-CoV-2 infection based on a human challenge study.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2024
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13 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 5 institutions in 2 countries.

Sunpeng WangDepartment of Biology, New York University, New York, NY 10012, United States of America.
Yang PanBeijing Center for Disease Prevention and Control, Beijing 100013, China; Beijing Research Center for Preventive Medicine, Beijing, China; School of Public Health, Capital Medical University, Beijing, China.
Quanyi WangBeijing Center for Disease Prevention and Control, Beijing 100013, China; Beijing Research Center for Preventive Medicine, Beijing, China.
Hongyu MiaoDepartment of Biostatistics and Data Science, School of Public Health, University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston, TX, 77030, United States of America.
Ashley N BrownInstitute for Therapeutic Innovation, Department of Medicine, College of Medicine, University of Florida, Orlando, FL 32827, United States of America.
Libin RongDepartment of Mathematics, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL 32611, United States of America. Electronic address: libinrong@ufl.edu.
University of Florida · USBeijing Center for Disease Prevention and Control · CNCapital Medical University · CNNew York University · USThe University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston · US

Funding

Using social networks to map and evaluate team science across CTSA hubsUL1TR001427 · NCATS · UNIVERSITY OF FLORIDA · PI MITCHELL, DUANE A. · 2015 to 2024
$37.2M
NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR001427
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), an infectious disease caused by the infection of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), is spreading and causing the global coronavirus pandemic. The viral dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 infection have not been quantitatively investigated. In this paper, we use mathematical models to study the pathogenic features of SARS-CoV-2 infection by examining the interaction between the virus, cells and immune responses. Models are fit to the data of SARS-CoV-2 infection in patients and non-human primates. Data fitting and numerical simulation show that viral dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 infection have a few distinct stages. In the initial stage, viral load increases rapidly and reaches the peak, followed by a plateau phase possibly generated by lymphocytes as a secondary target of infection. In the last stage, viral load declines due to the emergence of adaptive immune responses. When the initiation of seroconversion is late or slow, the model predicts viral rebound and prolonged viral persistence, consistent with the observation in non-human primates. Using the model we also evaluate the effect of several potential therapeutic interventions for SARS-CoV-2 infection. Model simulation shows that anti-inflammatory treatments or antiviral drugs combined with interferon are effective in reducing the duration of the viral plateau phase and diminishing the time to recovery. These results provide insights for understanding the infection dynamics and might help develop treatment strategies against COVID-19.

Indexed as

BetacoronavirusModels, BiologicalAdaptive ImmunityAnimalsCoronavirus InfectionsCOVID-19COVID-19 Drug TreatmentHost Microbial InteractionsHumansMacaca mulattaMathematical ConceptsPandemicsPneumonia, ViralRNA, ViralSARS-CoV-2Viral LoadRNA, Viral

Identifiers

PMID32771304
PMCPMC7409942
OpenAlexW3048334038

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.