Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32770247›Full record

ArticleJournal of the National Cancer Institute2021

Serial Analysis of Circulating Tumor Cells in Metastatic Breast Cancer Receiving First-Line Chemotherapy.

Mark Jesus M Magbanua, Laura H Hendrix, Terry Hyslop, William T Barry, Eric P Winer, Clifford Hudis, Deborah Toppmeyer, Lisa Anne Carey, Ann H Partridge, Jean-Yves Pierga and 22 more

Open access · bronzeAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of the National Cancer Institute, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 42 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
42citing papers in PubMed
1.8field-weighted citation impact, top 13% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

42 citing papers in PubMed, 47 citations in OpenAlex.

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  10. Precision Oncology Framework Using Circulating Tumor Cells.International journal of molecular sciences · 2025
    Review
  11. Article
  12. Article
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  14. The Combined Assessment of CTC andInternational journal of molecular sciences · 2025
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

32 authors at 20 institutions in 8 countries.

Mark Jesus M MagbanuaLaboratory Medicine, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA.
Laura H HendrixDuke Cancer Institute, Duke University, Durham, NC, USA.
Terry HyslopDuke Cancer Institute, Duke University, Durham, NC, USA.
William T BarryAlliance Statistics and Data Center, Dana-Farber/Partners CancerCare, Boston, MA, USA.
Eric P WinerDana-Farber/Partners CancerCare, Boston, MA, USA.
Clifford HudisMemorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center, New York, NY, USA.
Deborah ToppmeyerRutgers Cancer Institute of New Jersey, New Brunswick, NJ, USA.
Lisa Anne CareyUNC Lineberger Comprehensive Cancer Center, Chapel Hill, NC, USA.
Ann H PartridgeDana-Farber/Partners CancerCare, Boston, MA, USA.
Jean-Yves PiergaDepartment of Medical Oncology, Institut Curie, PSL Research University, Paris, France.
Tanja FehmDepartment of Gynecology and Obstetrics, Heinrich Heine University Düsseldorf, Düsseldorf, Germany.
José Vidal-MartínezClinical Laboratory, Hospital Arnau de Vilanova, Valencia, Spain.
Dimitrios MavroudisLaboratory of Translational Oncology, School of Medicine, University of Crete, Heraklion, Greece.
Jose A Garcia-SaenzDCIBERONC, IdISCC Madrid, Spain.
Justin StebbingDivision of Cancer, Department of Surgery and Cancer, Imperial College London, London, UK.
Paola GazzanigaDepartment of Molecular Medicine, Sapienza University of Rome, Rome, Italy.
Luis MansoHospital 12 de Octubre, Madrid, Spain.
Rita ZamarchiVeneto Institute of Oncology IOV-IRCCS, Padua, Italy.
María Luisa AnteloDepartment of Hematology, Complejo Hospitalario de Navarra, Pamplona, Spain.
Leticia De Mattos-ArrudaVal d'Hebron Institute of Oncology, Val d'Hebron University Hospital, and Universitat Autònoma de Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain.
Daniele GeneraliWomen Cancer Center, University of Trieste, Trieste, Italy.
Carlos CaldasCancer Research UK Cambridge Institute and Department of Oncology Li Ka Shing Centre, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK.
Elisabetta MunzoneDivision of Medical Senology, European Institute of Oncology, IRCCS, Milano, Italy.
Luc DirixTranslational Cancer Research Unit, GZA Hospitals Sint-Augustinus, Antwerp, Belgium.
Amy L DelsonBreast Science Advocacy Group, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA.
Harold J BursteinDana-Farber/Partners CancerCare, Boston, MA, USA.
Misbah QadirUNC Lineberger Comprehensive Cancer Center, Chapel Hill, NC, USA.
Cynthia MaWashington University School of Medicine, St. Louis, MO, USA.
Janet H ScottDivision of Hematology Oncology, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA.
François-Clément BidardDepartment of Medical Oncology, Institut Curie, PSL Research University, Paris, France.
John W ParkDivision of Hematology Oncology, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA.
Hope S RugoDivision of Hematology Oncology, University of California San Francisco, San Francisco, CA, USA.
University of California, San Francisco · USCancerCare · USDuke University · USUNC Lineberger Comprehensive Cancer CenterUniversité Paris Sciences et Lettres · FRCentro de Investigación Biomédica en Red de Cáncer · ESComplejo Hospitalario de Navarra · ESHeinrich Heine University Düsseldorf · DEHospital Arnau de Vilanova · ESImperial College London · GBIstituti di Ricovero e Cura a Carattere Scientifico · ITIstituto Oncologico Veneto · ITMemorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center · USResearch Institute Hospital 12 de Octubre · ESRutgers, The State University of New Jersey · USSapienza University of Rome · ITUniversitat Autònoma de Barcelona · ESUniversity of Antwerp · BEUniversity of Cambridge · GBUniversity of Crete · GR

Funding

X-RAY CRYSTALLOGRAPHYP30CA008748 · NCI · SLOAN-KETTERING INSTITUTE FOR CANCER RES · PI Nicholas D Socci · 1985 to 2026
$347.4M
Member Site CoreU10CA180821 · NCI · BRIGHAM AND WOMEN'S HOSPITAL · PI Evanthia Galanis · 2014 to 2026
$177.3M
Women's Cancer Research ProgramP30CA014236 · NCI · DUKE UNIVERSITY · PI DONNA NIEDZWIECKI · 1985 to 2026
$174.8M
Project-006U10CA180820 · NCI · ECOG-ACRIN MEDICAL RESEARCH FOUNDATION · PI Peter J ODwyer · 2014 to 2026
$167.6M
Statistics CoreU10CA180882 · NCI · MAYO CLINIC ROCHESTER · PI Sumithra Jay Mandrekar · 2014 to 2026
$115.0M
WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY / SITEMAN CANCER CENTER LEAD ACADEMIC SITEUG1CA233339 · NCI · WASHINGTON UNIVERSITY · PI NANCY L BARTLETT, Clifford Grant Robinson · 2019 to 2026
$11.3M
Network Lead Academic Participating Site: Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer CenterUG1CA233290 · NCI · SLOAN-KETTERING INST CAN RESEARCH · PI CAROL AGHAJANIAN, Darren Feldman · 2019 to 2026
$10.2M
NCTN Lead Academic Participating Site at Dana-Farber/Partners Cancer CareUG1CA233180 · NCI · DANA-FARBER CANCER INST · PI Harold John Burstein · 2019 to 2026
$8.6M
NCTN Lead Academic Participating Site at Dana-Farber/Partners Cancer CareU10CA180867 · NCI · DANA-FARBER CANCER INST · PI BURSTEIN, HAROLD JOHN, KIBEL, ADAM S · 2014 to 2018
$6.2M
Network Lead Academic Participating Site: Memorial Sloan-Kettering Cancer CenterU10CA180791 · NCI · SLOAN-KETTERING INST CAN RESEARCH · PI AGHAJANIAN, CAROL, MORRIS, MICHAEL J · 2014 to 2018
$4.6M
UNC Lead Academic Participating SiteUG1CA233373 · NCI · UNIV OF NORTH CAROLINA CHAPEL HILL · PI CAREY, LISA A, DEES, ELIZABETH CLAIRE · 2019 to 2025
$3.5M
CALGB Member Site: University of California - San FranciscoU10CA138561 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, SAN FRANCISCO · PI RYAN, CHARLES JAMES · 2009 to 2012
$430k
Cancer Research UK 16942Department of Health NIHR-RP-011-053NCI NIH HHS P30 CA008748NCI NIH HHS P30 CA014236NCI NIH HHS U10 CA138561NCI NIH HHS U10 CA180791NCI NIH HHS U10 CA180820NCI NIH HHS U10 CA180821NCI NIH HHS U10 CA180867NCI NIH HHS U10 CA180882NCI NIH HHS UG1 CA233180NCI NIH HHS UG1 CA233290NCI NIH HHS UG1 CA233339NCI NIH HHS UG1 CA233373
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundWe examined the prognostic significance of circulating tumor cell (CTC) dynamics during treatment in metastatic breast cancer (MBC) patients receiving first-line chemotherapy.

methodsSerial CTC data from 469 patients (2202 samples) were used to build a novel latent mixture model to identify groups with similar CTC trajectory (tCTC) patterns during the course of treatment. Cox regression was used to estimate hazard ratios for progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) in groups based on baseline CTCs, combined CTC status at baseline to the end of cycle 1, and tCTC. Akaike information criterion was used to select the model that best predicted PFS and OS.

resultsLatent mixture modeling revealed 4 distinct tCTC patterns: undetectable CTCs (56.9% ), low (23.7%), intermediate (14.5%), or high (4.9%). Patients with low, intermediate, and high tCTC patterns had statistically significant inferior PFS and OS compared with those with undetectable CTCs (P < .001). Akaike Information Criterion indicated that the tCTC model best predicted PFS and OS compared with baseline CTCs and combined CTC status at baseline to the end of cycle 1 models. Validation studies in an independent cohort of 1856 MBC patients confirmed these findings. Further validation using only a single pretreatment CTC measurement confirmed prognostic performance of the tCTC model.

conclusionsWe identified 4 novel prognostic groups in MBC based on similarities in tCTC patterns during chemotherapy. Prognostic groups included patients with very poor outcome (intermediate + high CTCs, 19.4%) who could benefit from more effective treatment. Our novel prognostic classification approach may be used for fine-tuning of CTC-based risk stratification strategies to guide future prospective clinical trials in MBC.

Indexed as

Breast NeoplasmsFemaleHumansNeoplastic Cells, CirculatingPrognosisProgression-Free SurvivalProportional Hazards ModelsReproducibility of ResultsRetrospective StudiesTreatment Outcome

Identifiers

PMID32770247
PMCPMC8023821
OpenAlexW3048125486

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.