Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32762482›Full record

ArticleCirculation. Cardiovascular quality and outcomes2020

Screening for Intracranial Aneurysms in Coarctation of the Aorta: A Decision and Cost-Effectiveness Analysis.

Sarah S Pickard, Ashwin Prakash, Jane W Newburger, Adel M Malek, John B Wong

Open access · bronzeAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Circulation. Cardiovascular quality and outcomes, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
12citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
1.1field-weighted citation impact, top 18% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

12 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 18 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Guideline
  2. Guideline
  3. Guideline
  4. Article
  5. Review
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Coarctation of the Aorta: Modern Paradigms Across the Lifespan.Hypertension (Dallas, Tex. : 1979) · 2023
    Review
  9. Article
  10. Review
  11. Article
  12. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 1 institution in 2 countries.

Sarah S PickardDepartments of Cardiology and of Pediatrics, Boston Children's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA (S.S.P., A.P., J.W.N.). Cerebrovascular and Endovascular Division, Department of Neurosurgery (A.M.M.) and Division of Clinical Decision Making (J.B.W.), Tufts Medical Center, Tufts University School of Medicine, Boston, MA.
Ashwin PrakashDepartments of Cardiology and of Pediatrics, Boston Children's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA (S.S.P., A.P., J.W.N.). Cerebrovascular and Endovascular Division, Department of Neurosurgery (A.M.M.) and Division of Clinical Decision Making (J.B.W.), Tufts Medical Center, Tufts University School of Medicine, Boston, MA.
Jane W NewburgerDepartments of Cardiology and of Pediatrics, Boston Children's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA (S.S.P., A.P., J.W.N.). Cerebrovascular and Endovascular Division, Department of Neurosurgery (A.M.M.) and Division of Clinical Decision Making (J.B.W.), Tufts Medical Center, Tufts University School of Medicine, Boston, MA.
Adel M MalekDepartments of Cardiology and of Pediatrics, Boston Children's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA (S.S.P., A.P., J.W.N.). Cerebrovascular and Endovascular Division, Department of Neurosurgery (A.M.M.) and Division of Clinical Decision Making (J.B.W.), Tufts Medical Center, Tufts University School of Medicine, Boston, MA.
John B WongDepartments of Cardiology and of Pediatrics, Boston Children's Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA (S.S.P., A.P., J.W.N.). Cerebrovascular and Endovascular Division, Department of Neurosurgery (A.M.M.) and Division of Clinical Decision Making (J.B.W.), Tufts Medical Center, Tufts University School of Medicine, Boston, MA.
Tufts Medical Center · US

Funding

RESEARCH METHODS IN PEDIATRICS HEART DISEASET32HL007572 · NHLBI · CHILDREN'S HOSPITAL BOSTON · PI Sarah D DE FERRANTI, Jane W. Newburger · 1985 to 2026
$13.0M
NHLBI NIH HHS T32 HL007572
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundPatients with coarctation of the aorta have a high prevalence of intracranial aneurysms (IA) and suffer subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) at younger ages than the general population. American Heart Association/American College of Cardiology guidelines recommend IA screening, but appropriate age and interval of screening and its effectiveness remain a critical knowledge gap. METHODS AND

resultsTo evaluate the benefits and cost-effectiveness of magnetic resonance angiography screening for IA in patients with coarctation of the aorta, we developed and calibrated a Markov model to match published IA prevalence estimates. The primary outcome was the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio. Secondary outcomes included lifetime cumulative incidence of prophylactic IA treatment and mortality and SAH deaths prevented. Using a payer perspective, a lifetime horizon, and a willingness-to-pay of $150 000 per quality-adjusted life-year gained, we applied a 3% annual discounting rate to costs and effects and performed 1-way, 2-way, and probabilistic sensitivity analyses. In a simulated cohort of 10 000 patients, no screening resulted in a 10.1% lifetime incidence of SAH and 183 SAH-related deaths. Screening at ages 10, 20, and 30 years led to 978 prophylactic treatments for unruptured aneurysms, 19 procedure-related deaths, and 65 SAH-related deaths. Screening at ages 10, 20, and 30 years was cost-effective compared with screening at ages 10 and 20 years (incremental cost-effectiveness ratio $106 841/quality-adjusted life-year). Uncertainty in the outcome after aneurysm treatment and quality of life after SAH influenced the preferred screening strategy. In probabilistic sensitivity analysis, screening at ages 10, 20, and 30 years was cost-effective in 41% of simulations and at ages 10 and 20 in 59% of simulations.

conclusionsOur model supports the American Heart Association/American College of Cardiology recommendation to screen patients with coarctation of the aorta for IA and suggests screening at ages 10 and 20 or at 10, 20, and 30 years would extend life and be cost-effective.

Indexed as

Decision Support TechniquesHealth Care CostsAdolescentAdultAortic CoarctationCerebral AngiographyChildCost-Benefit AnalysisDiagnostic Screening ProgramsEarly DiagnosisHumansIntracranial AneurysmMagnetic Resonance AngiographyMarkov ChainsPredictive Value of TestsPrognosisaortaintracranial aneurysmmagnetic resonance angiographyquality of lifesubarachnoid hemorrhage

Identifiers

PMID32762482
PMCPMC7442667
OpenAlexW3046495248

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.