Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32759374›Full record

SynthesisEuropean respiratory review : an official journal of the European Respiratory Society2020

Prognosis of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis without anti-fibrotic therapy: a systematic review.

Yet H Khor, Yvonne Ng, Hayley Barnes, Nicole S L Goh, Christine F McDonald, Anne E Holland

Open access · diamondAbstract readMeta-AnalysisSystematic Review
In one paragraph

Synthesis in European respiratory review : an official journal of the European Respiratory Society, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 68 papers, 4 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
68citing papers in PubMed, 4 pooled it
6.5field-weighted citation impact, top 2% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

68 citing papers in PubMed, 4 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 109 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Pooled it
  4. Pooled it
  5. Trial
  6. Zinpentraxin Alfa for Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis: The Randomized Phase III STARSCAPE Trial.American journal of respiratory and critical care medicine · 2024
    Trial
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  11. Observational
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  19. Evidence that metformin promotes fibrosis resolutionActa pharmaceutica Sinica. B · 2025
    Article
  20. Article

8 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 4 institutions in 1 country.

Yet H KhorDept of Respiratory and Sleep Medicine, Austin Health, Heidelberg, Australia yethong.khor@austin.org.au.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5434-9342
Yvonne NgMonash Lung and Sleep, Monash Health, Clayton, Australia.
Hayley BarnesDept of Respiratory Medicine, Alfred Health, Melbourne, Australia.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7615-4191
Nicole S L GohDept of Respiratory and Sleep Medicine, Austin Health, Heidelberg, Australia.
Christine F McDonaldDept of Respiratory and Sleep Medicine, Austin Health, Heidelberg, Australia.
Anne E HollandInstitute for Breathing and Sleep, Heidelberg, Australia.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2061-845X
The University of Melbourne · AUAlfred Health · AUInstitute for Breathing and Sleep · AUMonash Health · AU

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

In addition to facilitating healthcare delivery planning, reliable information about prognosis is essential for treatment decisions in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF). This review aimed to evaluate the prognosis of patients with IPF without anti-fibrotic therapy. We included all cohort studies and the placebo arms of randomised controlled trials (RCTs) in IPF and follow-up of ≥12 months. Two reviewers independently evaluated studies for inclusion, assessed risk of bias and extracted data. A total of 154 cohort studies and 16 RCTs were included. The pooled proportions of mortality were 0.12 (95% CI 0.09-0.14) at 1-2 years, 0.38 (95% CI 0.34-0.42) between 2-5 years, and 0.69 (95% CI 0.59-0.78) at ≥5 years. The pooled mean overall survival was 4 years (95% CI 3.7-4.6) for studies with a follow-up duration of 10 years. At <2 years, forced vital capacity and diffusing capacity of the lung for carbon monoxide declined by a mean of 6.76% predicted (95% CI -8.92 -4.61) and 3% predicted (95% CI -5.14 -1.52), respectively. Although heterogeneity was high, subgroup analyses revealed lower pooled proportions of mortality at 1 year in the RCT participants (0.07 (95% CI 0.05-0.09))

Indexed as

HumansIdiopathic Pulmonary FibrosisPrognosis

Identifiers

PMID32759374
PMCPMC9488716
OpenAlexW3047214800

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.