ArticleMathematical biosciences2020
Simulating COVID-19 in a university environment.
Article in Mathematical biosciences, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 49 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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Who cites it
49 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- Comparative effectiveness of contact tracing interventions in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic: a systematic review.European journal of epidemiology · 2023Pooled it
- Trial
- Study on the impact of COVID-19 epidemic and agent disease risk simulation model based on individual factors in Xi'an City.Frontiers in cellular and infection microbiology · 2025Article
- A framework for counterfactual analysis, strategy evaluation, and control of epidemics using reproduction number estimates.PLoS computational biology · 2024Article
- SARS-CoV-2 wastewater surveillance at two university campuses: lessons learned and insights on intervention strategies for public health guidance.Journal of water and health · 2024Article
- Investigation of airborne spread of COVID-19 using a hybrid agent-based model: a case study of the UK.Royal Society open science · 2023Article
- Modeling community COVID-19 transmission risk associated with U.S. universities.Scientific reports · 2023Article
- Modeling and Global Sensitivity Analysis of Strategies to Mitigate Covid-19 Transmission on a Structured College Campus.Bulletin of mathematical biology · 2023Article
- COVID-19 safe campus evaluation for universities by a hybrid interval type-2 fuzzy decision-making model.Environmental science and pollution research international · 2023Article
- Empirical networks for localized COVID-19 interventions using WiFi infrastructure at university campuses.Frontiers in digital health · 2023Article
- Monitoring and responding to emerging infectious diseases in a university setting: A case study using COVID-19.PloS one · 2023Article
- Fitting and validation of an agent-based model for COVID-19 case forecasting in workplaces and universities.PloS one · 2023Article
- Exploring a COVID-19 Endemic Scenario: High-Resolution Agent-Based Modeling of Multiple Variants.Advanced theory and simulations · 2023Article
- Effect of mandating vaccination on COVID-19 cases in colleges and universities.International journal of infectious diseases : IJID : official publication of the International Society for Infectious Diseases · 2022Article
- Using simulation modelling and systems science to help contain COVID-19: A systematic review.Systems research and behavioral science · 2022Article
- Agent Simulation Model of COVID-19 Epidemic Agent-Based on GIS: A Case Study of Huangpu District, Shanghai.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022Article
- Students' preferences for returning to colleges and universities during the COVID-19 pandemic: A discrete choice experiment.Socio-economic planning sciences · 2022Article
- Mitigation of SARS-CoV-2 transmission at a large public university.Nature communications · 2022Article
- Comparison of high-frequency in-pipe SARS-CoV-2 wastewater-based surveillance to concurrent COVID-19 random clinical testing on a public U.S. university campus.The Science of the total environment · 2022Article
- A hybrid stochastic model and its Bayesian identification for infectious disease screening in a university campus with application to massive COVID-19 screening at the University of Liège.Mathematical biosciences · 2022Article
Corrections and comments
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Authors and funding
2 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
Residential colleges and universities face unique challenges in providing in-person instruction during the COVID-19 pandemic. Administrators are currently faced with decisions about whether to open during the pandemic and what modifications of their normal operations might be necessary to protect students, faculty and staff. There is little information, however, on what measures are likely to be most effective and whether existing interventions could contain the spread of an outbreak on campus. We develop a full-scale stochastic agent-based model to determine whether in-person instruction could safely continue during the pandemic and evaluate the necessity of various interventions. Simulation results indicate that large scale randomized testing, contact-tracing, and quarantining are important components of a successful strategy for containing campus outbreaks. High test specificity is critical for keeping the size of the quarantine population manageable. Moving the largest classes online is also crucial for controlling both the size of outbreaks and the number of students in quarantine. Increased residential exposure can significantly impact the size of an outbreak, but it is likely more important to control non-residential social exposure among students. Finally, necessarily high quarantine rates even in controlled outbreaks imply significant absenteeism, indicating a need to plan for remote instruction of quarantined students.
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Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.