Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32758069›Full record

ArticleHuman vaccines & immunotherapeutics2021

Impact of population aging on the burden of vaccine-preventable diseases among older adults in the United States.

Sandra E Talbird, Elizabeth M La, Justin Carrico, Sara Poston, Jean-Etienne Poirrier, Jessica K DeMartino, Cosmina S Hogea

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Human vaccines & immunotherapeutics, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 33 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
33citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
3.3field-weighted citation impact, top 7% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

33 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 54 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Sandra E TalbirdHealth Economics, RTI Health Solutions , Research Triangle Park, NC, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-4719-3703
Elizabeth M LaHealth Economics, RTI Health Solutions , Research Triangle Park, NC, USA.ORCID 0000-0001-5652-8961
Justin CarricoHealth Economics, RTI Health Solutions , Research Triangle Park, NC, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-4659-9309
Sara PostonUS Health Outcomes & Epidemiology, Vaccines, GSK , Philadelphia, PA, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-4735-057X
Jean-Etienne PoirrierUS Health Outcomes & Epidemiology, Vaccines, GSK , Philadelphia, PA, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-1246-7746
Jessica K DeMartinoUS Health Outcomes & Epidemiology, Vaccines, GSK , Philadelphia, PA, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-4685-3450
Cosmina S HogeaGlobal Value Evidence and Outcomes, Oncology,GSK, Philadelphia, PA, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-0686-2395
RTI Health Solutions · USNRG Oncology · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Despite vaccination recommendations, the burden of vaccine-preventable diseases remains high in older adults in the United States (US), contributing to substantial morbidity, mortality, and health care resource use and costs. To adequately plan for health care resource needs and to help inform vaccination policies, burden of disease projections that account for population aging over the coming decades are needed. As a first step, this exploratory study projects the burden of influenza, pertussis, herpes zoster, and pneumococcal disease in adults aged 50 y and older in the US, using a population-based modeling framework with separate decision trees for each vaccine-preventable disease. The model uses projected population estimates from the US Census Bureau to account for changes in the US population over time and then calculates expected numbers of cases and associated costs for each disease, keeping current estimates of age-specific disease incidence, vaccine coverage, and efficacy constant over time. This approach was used to focus the exploratory analysis on the burden of disease that may be expected due to population changes alone, assuming that all else remains unchanged. Due to population growth and the shifting age distribution over the next 30 y, the annual societal economic burden for the four vaccine-preventable diseases is projected to increase from approximately $35 billion to $49 billion, resulting in cumulative costs of approximately $1.3 trillion, as well as more than 1 million disease-related deaths. Given such notable burden, further efforts to increase vaccination coverage and effectiveness in older adults are needed.

Indexed as

Herpes ZosterInfluenza VaccinesVaccine-Preventable DiseasesAgedAgingHumansUnited StatesVaccinationInfluenza Vaccinesaging populationseconomic burdenInfectious diseasesvaccines costs and spending

Identifiers

PMID32758069
PMCPMC7899694
OpenAlexW3047366239

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.