Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32752986›Full record

ArticleProceedings. Biological sciences2020

Thermal thresholds heighten sensitivity of West Nile virus transmission to changing temperatures in coastal California.

Nicholas K Skaff, Qu Cheng, Rachel E S Clemesha, Philip A Collender, Alexander Gershunov, Jennifer R Head, Christopher M Hoover, Dennis P Lettenmaier, Jason R Rohr, Robert E Snyder and 1 more

Abstract read
PubMed Full text at PMC Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in Proceedings. Biological sciences, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Climate sensitivity is widely but unevenly spread across zoonotic diseases.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2025
    Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

11 authors.

Nicholas K SkaffDivision of Environmental Health Sciences, School of Public Health, University of California, Berkeley, CA 94720, USA.
Qu ChengDivision of Environmental Health Sciences, School of Public Health, University of California, Berkeley, CA 94720, USA.
Rachel E S ClemeshaScripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA 92037, USA.
Philip A CollenderDivision of Environmental Health Sciences, School of Public Health, University of California, Berkeley, CA 94720, USA.
Alexander GershunovScripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA 92037, USA.
Jennifer R HeadDivision of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, University of California, Berkeley, CA 94720, USA.
Christopher M HooverDivision of Environmental Health Sciences, School of Public Health, University of California, Berkeley, CA 94720, USA.
Dennis P LettenmaierDepartment of Geography, University of California, Los Angeles, CA 90095, USA.
Jason R RohrDepartment of Biological Sciences, Eck Institute for Global Health, and Environmental Change Initiative, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN 46556, USA.
Robert E SnyderCalifornia Department of Public Health, Vector-Borne Disease Section, Sacramento, CA 95814, USA.
Justin V RemaisDivision of Environmental Health Sciences, School of Public Health, University of California, Berkeley, CA 94720, USA.

Funding

Spatio-temporal data integration methods for infectious disease surveillanceR01AI125842 · NIAID · UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA BERKELEY · PI CHANG, HOWARD H, REMAIS, JUSTIN V · 2017 to 2021
$3.6M
Effects of agricultural expansion and intensification on infectionsR01TW010286 · FIC · UNIVERSITY OF SOUTH FLORIDA · PI REMAIS, JUSTIN V, ROHR, JASON ROBERT · 2015 to 2019
$2.4M
FIC NIH HHS R01 TW010286NIAID NIH HHS R01 AI125842
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Temperature is widely known to influence the spatio-temporal dynamics of vector-borne disease transmission, particularly as temperatures vary across critical thermal thresholds. When temperature conditions exhibit such 'transcritical variation', abrupt spatial or temporal discontinuities may result, generating sharp geographical or seasonal boundaries in transmission. Here, we develop a spatio-temporal machine learning algorithm to examine the implications of transcritical variation for West Nile virus (WNV) transmission in the Los Angeles metropolitan area (LA). Analysing a large vector and WNV surveillance dataset spanning 2006-2016, we found that mean temperatures in the previous month strongly predicted the probability of WNV presence in pools of

Indexed as

TemperatureWest Nile virusAnimalsCaliforniaCulexCulicidaeGeographyHumansLos AngelesMosquito VectorsWest Nile FeverCaliforniaclimate vulnerabilitytemperaturethermal thresholdsvector-borne diseaseWest Nile virus

Identifiers

PMID32752986
PMCPMC7575529

What OpenQuestion holds

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Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.