Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32752627›Full record

ArticleChaos (Woodbury, N.Y.)2020

Forecasting the daily and cumulative number of cases for the COVID-19 pandemic in India.

Subhas Khajanchi, Kankan Sarkar

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Chaos (Woodbury, N.Y.), 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 65 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
65citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

65 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
  2. Projected spread models.Journal of mathematical biology · 2025
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  10. Review
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  14. Correcting notification delay and forecasting of COVID-19 data.Journal of mathematical analysis and applications · 2022
    Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
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  18. Article
  19. New endemic and pandemic pathologies with interhuman airborne transmission through ear, nose and throat anatomical sites.Acta otorhinolaryngologica Italica : organo ufficiale della Societa italiana di otorinolaringologia e chirurgia cervico-facciale · 2022
    Article
  20. Review

5 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

2 authors.

Subhas KhajanchiDepartment of Mathematics, Presidency University, 86/1 College Street, Kolkata 700073, India.ORCID 0000000265331121
Kankan SarkarDepartment of Mathematics, Malda College, Malda, West Bengal 732101, India.ORCID 0000000227779611

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The ongoing novel coronavirus epidemic was announced a pandemic by the World Health Organization on March 11, 2020, and the Government of India declared a nationwide lockdown on March 25, 2020 to prevent community transmission of the coronavirus disease (COVID)-19. Due to the absence of specific antivirals or vaccine, mathematical modeling plays an important role in better understanding the disease dynamics and in designing strategies to control the rapidly spreading infectious disease. In our study, we developed a new compartmental model that explains the transmission dynamics of COVID-19. We calibrated our proposed model with daily COVID-19 data for four Indian states, namely, Jharkhand, Gujarat, Andhra Pradesh, and Chandigarh. We study the qualitative properties of the model, including feasible equilibria and their stability with respect to the basic reproduction number R

Indexed as

AlgorithmsBasic Reproduction NumberBetacoronavirusCalibrationComputer SimulationCoronavirus InfectionsCOVID-19Disease OutbreaksForecastingHumansIndiaLinear ModelsPandemicsPneumonia, ViralSARS-CoV-2

Identifiers

PMID32752627
PMCPMC7585452

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.