Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32748311›Full record

ArticleOsteoporosis international : a journal established as result of cooperation between the European Foundation for Osteoporosis and the National Osteoporosis Foundation of the USA2021

Fracture risk assessment in celiac disease: a registry-based cohort study.

D R Duerksen, L M Lix, H Johansson, E V McCloskey, N C Harvey, J A Kanis, W D Leslie

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Osteoporosis international : a journal established as result of cooperation between the European Foundation for Osteoporosis and the National Osteoporosis Foundation of the USA, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed
2.2field-weighted citation impact, top 11% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed, 24 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Observational
  2. CMAJ : Canadian Medical Association journal = journal de l'Association medicale canadienne · 2026
    Review
  3. Diagnosis and management of celiac disease.CMAJ : Canadian Medical Association journal = journal de l'Association medicale canadienne · 2025
    Review
  4. Article
  5. Review
  6. Article
  7. Review
  8. Review article: Systemic consequences of coeliac disease.Alimentary pharmacology & therapeutics · 2022
    Review
  9. Review
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

7 authors at 4 institutions in 3 countries.

D R DuerksenUniversity of Manitoba, Winnipeg, Canada. dduerkse@sbgh.mb.ca.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6744-2722
L M LixUniversity of Manitoba, Winnipeg, Canada.
H JohanssonCentre for Metabolic Bone Diseases, University of Sheffield Medical School, Sheffield, UK.
E V McCloskeyCentre for Metabolic Bone Diseases, University of Sheffield Medical School, Sheffield, UK.
N C HarveyMRC Lifecourse Epidemiology Unit, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK.
J A KanisCentre for Metabolic Bone Diseases, University of Sheffield Medical School, Sheffield, UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3129-4326
W D LeslieUniversity of Manitoba, Winnipeg, Canada.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1056-1691
University of Manitoba · CAAustralian Catholic University · AUUniversity Hospital Southampton NHS Foundation Trust · GBUniversity of Sheffield · GB

Funding

Medical Research Council G0400491Medical Research Council MC_PC_21000Medical Research Council MC_U147585819Medical Research Council MC_U147585824Medical Research Council MC_UP_A620_1014Medical Research Council MC_UU_12011/1Versus Arthritis 17702Versus Arthritis 21231
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Celiac disease is associated with an increased fracture risk but is not a direct input to the FRAX® calculation. When celiac disease is considered as a secondary osteoporosis risk factor or BMD is included in the FRAX assessment, FRAX accurately predicts fracture risk.

introductionThe fracture risk assessment tool (FRAX®) uses clinical factors and bone mineral density (BMD) measurement to predict 10-year major osteoporotic (MOF) fracture probability. The study aim was to determine whether celiac disease affects MOF risk independent of FRAX score.

methodsThe Manitoba BMD Registry includes clinical data, BMD measurements, 10-year probability of MOF calculated for each individual using the Canadian FRAX tool and diagnosed celiac disease. Using linkage to population-based healthcare databases, we identified incident MOF diagnoses over the next 10 years for celiac disease and general population cohorts.

resultsCeliac disease (N = 693) was associated with increased fracture risk adjusted for FRAX score computed without secondary osteoporosis or BMD (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 1.43, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.11-1.86). Celiac disease was no longer a significant risk factor for fracture when secondary osteoporosis or BMD were included in the FRAX calculation (p > 0.1). In subjects with celiac disease, each SD increase in FRAX score (calculated with and without secondary osteoporosis or BMD) was associated with higher risk of incident MOF (adjusted HR 1.66 to 1.80), similar to the general population (p-interaction > 0.2). Including celiac disease as secondary osteoporosis or including BMD in FRAX 10-year MOF probability calculations (10.1% and 8.6% respectively) approximated the observed cumulative 10-year MOF probability (10.8%, 95% CI 7.8-13.9%).

conclusionsCeliac disease is associated with an increased risk of major osteoporotic fractures. When celiac disease is considered as a secondary osteoporosis risk factor or BMD is included in FRAX assessment, FRAX accurately predicts fracture risk.

Indexed as

Celiac DiseaseOsteoporotic FracturesAbsorptiometry, PhotonBone DensityCanadaCohort StudiesHumansIncidenceManitobaRegistriesRisk AssessmentRisk FactorsCeliac diseaseEpidemiologyFRAX scoreMajor osteoporotic fracture riskOsteoporosis

Identifiers

PMID32748311
PMCPMC7611613
OpenAlexW3047437383

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.