ArticleNational science review2016
Modeling Sustainability: Population, Inequality, Consumption, and Bidirectional Coupling of the Earth and Human Systems.
Article in National science review, 2016. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 24 papers.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
24 citing papers in PubMed.
- China's natural carrying capacity: its change and progress of decision-oriented study.National science review · 2026Review
- Coupling coordination analysis of the economic-social-infrastructure-ecological resilience system: A case study of Zhejiang Province.PloS one · 2025Article
- Spatiotemporal dynamics and spatial correlation patterns of urban ecological resilience across the Yellow River Basin in China.Scientific reports · 2024Article
- Hands-On Activity Illustrating the Sorting Process of Recycled Waste and Its Role in Promoting Sustainable Solutions.Journal of chemical education · 2024Article
- Spatial and temporal evolution of urban resilience in China and analysis of barriers: Based on a sustainable development perspective.PloS one · 2024Article
- Challenges and opportunities for modeling coupled human and natural systems.National science review · 2023Article
- The global human day.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2023Article
- Inequality can double the energy required to secure universal decent living.Nature communications · 2022Article
- The application of resilience theory in urban development: a literature review.Environmental science and pollution research international · 2022Review
- Urbanization comprehensively impairs biological rhythms in coral holobionts.Global change biology · 2022Article
- Infrastructure inequality is a characteristic of urbanization.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2022Article
- Article
- Grand challenges in biodiversity-ecosystem functioning research in the era of science-policy platforms require explicit consideration of feedbacks.Proceedings. Biological sciences · 2021Article
- When conflicts get heated, so does the planet: coupled social-climate dynamics under inequality.Proceedings. Biological sciences · 2021Article
- Climate change/variability and hydrological modelling studies in Zimbabwe: a review of progress and knowledge gaps.SN applied sciences · 2021Review
- Agricultural land use and the sustainability of social-ecological systems.Ecological modelling · 2020Article
- Possible fates of the spread of SARS-CoV-2 in the Mexican context.Royal Society open science · 2020Article
- Understanding the spatial-temporal variation of human footprint in Jiangsu Province, China, its anthropogenic and natural drivers and potential implications.Scientific reports · 2020Article
- Article
- Food Inequality, Injustice, and Rights.Bioscience · 2019Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
20 authors.
Funding
Abstract
Over the last two centuries, the impact of the Human System has grown dramatically, becoming strongly dominant within the Earth System in many different ways. Consumption, inequality, and population have increased extremely fast, especially since about 1950, threatening to overwhelm the many critical functions and ecosystems of the Earth System. Changes in the Earth System, in turn, have important feedback effects on the Human System, with costly and potentially serious consequences. However, current models do not incorporate these critical feedbacks. We argue that in order to understand the dynamics of either system, Earth System Models must be coupled with Human System Models through bidirectional couplings representing the positive, negative, and delayed feedbacks that exist in the real systems. In particular, key Human System variables, such as demographics, inequality, economic growth, and migration, are not coupled with the Earth System but are instead driven by exogenous estimates, such as UN population projections. This makes current models likely to miss important feedbacks in the real Earth-Human system, especially those that may result in unexpected or counterintuitive outcomes, and thus requiring different policy interventions from current models. The importance and imminence of sustainability challenges, the dominant role of the Human System in the Earth System, and the essential roles the Earth System plays for the Human System, all call for collaboration of natural scientists, social scientists, and engineers in multidisciplinary research and modeling to develop coupled Earth-Human system models for devising effective science-based policies and measures to benefit current and future generations.
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.