Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32746835›Full record

ArticleWorld journal of surgical oncology2020

Individualized prediction of survival benefit from primary tumor resection for patients with unresectable metastatic colorectal cancer.

Yi Yang, Yujie Lu, Wen Jiang, Jinzhou Zhu, Su Yan

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in World journal of surgical oncology, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 4 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
4citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

4 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Yi YangDepartment of Gastroenterology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University, 899 Pinghai Road, Suzhou, 215006, Jiangsu, China.
Yujie LuDepartment of Oncology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University, 899 Pinghai Road, Suzhou, 215006, Jiangsu, China.
Wen JiangDepartment of Gastroenterology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University, 899 Pinghai Road, Suzhou, 215006, Jiangsu, China.
Jinzhou ZhuDepartment of Gastroenterology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University, 899 Pinghai Road, Suzhou, 215006, Jiangsu, China.
Su YanDepartment of Gastroenterology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University, 899 Pinghai Road, Suzhou, 215006, Jiangsu, China. yansu@suda.edu.cn.

Funding

the Science and Technology Foundation, Suzhou, Jiangsu SYS2019054
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundThe impact of primary tumor resection (PTR) on the prognosis of unresectable metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) patients remains debatable. We aimed to develop several prognostic nomograms which could be useful in predicting whether patients might benefit from PTR or not.

methodsPatients diagnosed as mCRC without resected metastasis were identified from the Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results database and randomly assigned into two groups: a training cohort (6369 patients) and a validation cohort (2774 patients). Univariate and multivariable Cox analyses were performed to identify the independent predictors and construct nomograms that could independently predict the overall survival (OS) of unresectable mCRC patients in PTR and non-PTR groups, respectively. The performance of these nomograms was assessed by the concordance index (C-index), calibration curves, and decision curve analysis (DCA).

resultsBased on the result of univariate and multivariable Cox analyses, two nomograms were respectively constructed to predict the 1-year OS rates of unresectable mCRC patients when receiving PTR and not. The first one included age, gender, tumor grade, proximal colon, N stage, CEA, chemotherapy, radiotherapy, histology type, brain metastasis, liver metastasis, lung metastasis, and bone metastasis. The second nomogram included age, race, tumor grade, primary site, CEA, chemotherapy, brain metastasis, and bone metastasis. These nomograms showed favorable sensitivity with the C-index range of 0.700-0.725. The calibration curves and DCAs also exhibited adequate fit and ideal net benefits in prognosis prediction and clinical application.

conclusionsThese practical prognosis nomograms could assist clinicians in making appropriate treatment decisions to effectively manage the disease.

Indexed as

Colonic NeoplasmsNomogramsHumansNeoplasm StagingPrognosisSEER ProgramColorectal cancerMetastasisNomogramPrimary tumor resectionSEERSurvival

Identifiers

PMID32746835
PMCPMC7401291

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.