Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32746129›Full record

ArticleIEEE transactions on medical imaging2020

Confidence Calibration and Predictive Uncertainty Estimation for Deep Medical Image Segmentation.

Alireza Mehrtash, William M Wells, Clare M Tempany, Purang Abolmaesumi, Tina Kapur

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in IEEE transactions on medical imaging, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 83 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
83citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

83 citing papers in PubMed.

  1. Article
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  12. Mind the Gap: Human and AI Uncertainties in Cardiac MRI Segmentation.Cardiovascular engineering and technology · 2026
    Article
  13. Uncertainty-guided model learning for trustworthy medical image segmentation.Medical & biological engineering & computing · 2026
    Article
  14. Article
  15. Trusted polyp segmentation via multi-scale evidence ensemble in colonoscopy images.International journal of computer assisted radiology and surgery · 2026
    Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
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  19. Article
  20. Random forest-based out-of-distribution detection for robust lung cancer segmentation.Proceedings of SPIE--the International Society for Optical Engineering · 2026
    Article

23 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Alireza Mehrtash
William M Wells
Clare M Tempany
Purang Abolmaesumi
Tina Kapur

Funding

Image Guided Therapy Center - Ultrasound-based sensor system for the monitoring of COVID-19 patientsP41EB015898 · NIBIB · BRIGHAM AND WOMEN'S HOSPITAL · PI TEMPANY, CLARE M · 2012 to 2021
$18.9M
CIHRNIBIB NIH HHS P41 EB015898
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Fully convolutional neural networks (FCNs), and in particular U-Nets, have achieved state-of-the-art results in semantic segmentation for numerous medical imaging applications. Moreover, batch normalization and Dice loss have been used successfully to stabilize and accelerate training. However, these networks are poorly calibrated i.e. they tend to produce overconfident predictions for both correct and erroneous classifications, making them unreliable and hard to interpret. In this paper, we study predictive uncertainty estimation in FCNs for medical image segmentation. We make the following contributions: 1) We systematically compare cross-entropy loss with Dice loss in terms of segmentation quality and uncertainty estimation of FCNs; 2) We propose model ensembling for confidence calibration of the FCNs trained with batch normalization and Dice loss; 3) We assess the ability of calibrated FCNs to predict segmentation quality of structures and detect out-of-distribution test examples. We conduct extensive experiments across three medical image segmentation applications of the brain, the heart, and the prostate to evaluate our contributions. The results of this study offer considerable insight into the predictive uncertainty estimation and out-of-distribution detection in medical image segmentation and provide practical recipes for confidence calibration. Moreover, we consistently demonstrate that model ensembling improves confidence calibration.

Indexed as

Image Processing, Computer-AssistedNeural Networks, ComputerBrainCalibrationHumansMaleUncertainty

Identifiers

PMID32746129
PMCPMC7704933

What OpenQuestion holds

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Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.