ArticleRoyal Society open science2020
Emergence of cascading dynamics in interacting tipping elements of ecology and climate.
Article in Royal Society open science, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 12 papers.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
12 citing papers in PubMed.
- Compound Ecoclimatic Events: The Long-Term Recovery of Conservation-Priority Mammals After an Extreme Ice Storm Event Was Promoted by the Alleviation of Poaching.Global change biology · 2026Article
- Article
- Overlapping attempts to falsify and Darwinize the Gaia hypothesis.Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences · 2025Review
- Land system changes of terrestrial tipping elements on Earth under global climate pledges: 2000-2100.Scientific data · 2025Article
- Connecting complex and simplified models of tipping elements: a nonlinear two-forcing emulator for the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation.Open research Europe · 2025Article
- Achieving net zero greenhouse gas emissions critical to limit climate tipping risks.Nature communications · 2024Article
- Multistability and intermediate tipping of the Atlantic Ocean circulation.Science advances · 2024Article
- Remotely sensing potential climate change tipping points across scales.Nature communications · 2024Review
- Recurrent droughts increase risk of cascading tipping events by outpacing adaptive capacities in the Amazon rainforest.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2022Article
- Phase transitions in biology: from bird flocks to population dynamics.Proceedings. Biological sciences · 2021Article
- Public health challenges and opportunities after COVID-19.Bulletin of the World Health Organization · 2021Article
- Dynamical landscape and multistability of a climate model.Proceedings. Mathematical, physical, and engineering sciences · 2021Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
4 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
In ecology, climate and other fields, (sub)systems have been identified that can transition into a qualitatively different state when a critical threshold or tipping point in a driving process is crossed. An understanding of those tipping elements is of great interest given the increasing influence of humans on the biophysical Earth system. Complex interactions exist between tipping elements, e.g. physical mechanisms connect subsystems of the climate system. Based on earlier work on such coupled nonlinear systems, we systematically assessed the qualitative long-term behaviour of interacting tipping elements. We developed an understanding of the consequences of interactions on the tipping behaviour allowing for tipping cascades to emerge under certain conditions. The (narrative) application of these qualitative results to real-world examples of interacting tipping elements indicates that tipping cascades with profound consequences may occur: the interacting Greenland ice sheet and thermohaline ocean circulation might tip before the tipping points of the isolated subsystems are crossed. The eutrophication of the first lake in a lake chain might propagate through the following lakes without a crossing of their individual critical nutrient input levels. The possibility of emerging cascading tipping dynamics calls for the development of a unified theory of interacting tipping elements and the quantitative analysis of interacting real-world tipping elements.
Indexed as
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.