Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32740866›Full record

ArticleInfection2020

Personalized machine learning approach to predict candidemia in medical wards.

Andrea Ripoli, Emanuela Sozio, Francesco Sbrana, Giacomo Bertolino, Carlo Pallotto, Gianluigi Cardinali, Simone Meini, Filippo Pieralli, Anna Maria Azzini, Ercole Concia and 2 more

Abstract read
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in Infection, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 20 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
20citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
1.7field-weighted citation impact, top 14% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

20 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 38 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Antifungal Stewardship in Invasive Fungal Infections, a Systematic Review.Advances in experimental medicine and biology · 2025
    Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Review
  4. Review
  5. Deep Learning for the Early Diagnosis of Candidemia.Infectious diseases and therapy · 2025
    Article
  6. Review
  7. FromFrontiers in medicine · 2025
    Article
  8. Review
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Article
  13. Article
  14. Review
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Machine Learning and Antibiotic Management.Antibiotics (Basel, Switzerland) · 2022
    Article
  18. Modern Machine-Learning Predictive Models for Diagnosing Infectious Diseases.Computational and mathematical methods in medicine · 2022
    Review
  19. Article
  20. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

12 authors at 9 institutions in 1 country.

Andrea RipoliBioengineering Department, Fondazione Toscana Gabriele Monasterio, Pisa, Italy.
Emanuela SozioEmergency Department, North-West District, Tuscany Health Care, Spedali Riuniti Livorno, Livorno, Italy.
Francesco SbranaU.O. Lipoapheresis and Center for Inherited Dyslipidemias, Fondazione Toscana Gabriele Monasterio, Via Moruzzi,1, 56124, Pisa, Italy. francesco.sbrana@ftgm.it.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4607-0373
Giacomo BertolinoPharmaceutical Department, ASSL Cagliari, Cagliari, Italy.
Carlo PallottoUOC Malattie Infettive, Ospedale San Donato Arezzo, Sud-Est District, Tuscany Health Care, Arezzo, Italy.
Gianluigi CardinaliDepartment of Pharmaceutical Sciences-Microbiology, University of Perugia, Perugia, Italy.
Simone MeiniInternal Medicine Unit, Santa Maria Annunziata Hospital, Florence, Italy.
Filippo PieralliIntermediate Care Unit, Azienda Ospedaliera Universitaria Careggi, Florence, Italy.
Anna Maria AzziniDipartimento Di Diagnostica E Sanità Pubblica, Sezione Di Malattie Infettive, Università Di Verona, Verona, Italy.
Ercole ConciaDipartimento Di Diagnostica E Sanità Pubblica, Sezione Di Malattie Infettive, Università Di Verona, Verona, Italy.
Bruno ViaggiDepartment of Anesthesia, Neuro Intensive Care Unit, Careggi Universital Hospital, Florence, Italy.
Carlo TasciniFirst Division of Infectious Diseases, Cotugno Hospital, Azienda Ospedaliera Dei Colli, Napoli, Italy.
Azienda Ospedaliero-Universitaria Careggi · ITFondazione Toscana Gabriele Monasterio · ITUniversity of Verona · ITOspedale D. Cotugno · ITOspedale di Livorno · ITOspedale San Donato · ITOspedale Santa Maria Annunziata · ITUniversity of Cagliari · ITUniversity of Perugia · IT

Funding

Gilead Foundation The project was partially funded with Digital Health Program 2017 funds
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

purposeCandidemia is a highly lethal infection; several scores have been developed to assist the diagnosis process and recently different models have been proposed. Aim of this work was to assess predictive performance of a Random Forest (RF) algorithm for early detection of candidemia in the internal medical wards (IMWs).

methodsA set of 42 potential predictors was acquired in a sample of 295 patients (male: 142, age: 72 ± 15 years; candidemia: 157/295; bacteremia: 138/295). Using tenfold cross-validation, a RF algorithm was compared with a classic stepwise multivariable logistic regression model; discriminative performance was assessed by C-statistics, sensitivity and specificity, while calibration was evaluated by Hosmer-Lemeshow test.

resultsThe best tuned RF algorithm demonstrated excellent discrimination (C-statistics = 0.874 ± 0.003, sensitivity = 84.24% ± 0.67%, specificity = 91% ± 2.63%) and calibration (Hosmer-Lemeshow statistics = 12.779 ± 1.369, p = 0.120), markedly greater than the ones guaranteed by the classic stepwise logistic regression (C-statistics = 0.829 ± 0.011, sensitivity = 80.21% ± 1.67%, specificity = 84.81% ± 2.68%; Hosmer-Lemeshow statistics = 38.182 ± 15.983, p < 0.001). In addition, RF suggests a major role of in-hospital antibiotic treatment with microbioma highly impacting antimicrobials (MHIA) that are found as a fundamental risk of candidemia, further enhanced by TPN. When in-hospital MHIA therapy is not performed, PICC is the dominant risk factor for candidemia, again enhanced by TPN. When PICC is not used and MHIA therapy is not performed, the risk of candidemia is minimum, slightly increased by in-hospital antibiotic therapy.

conclusionRF accurately estimates the risk of candidemia in patients admitted to IMWs. Machine learning technique might help to identify patients at high risk of candidemia, reduce the delay in empirical treatment and improve appropriateness in antifungal prescription.

Indexed as

AlgorithmsMachine LearningAgedAged, 80 and overCandidemiaDiagnostic Techniques and ProceduresEarly DiagnosisFemaleHospitalsHumansItalyMaleMiddle AgedCandidemiaMachine learningMedical wardSeptic patients

Identifiers

PMID32740866
OpenAlexW3046650413

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.