Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32740472›Full record

ArticleEpidemiology (Cambridge, Mass.)2020

Trends in the Risk of Cognitive Impairment in the United States, 1996-2014.

Jo Mhairi Hale, Daniel C Schneider, Jutta Gampe, Neil K Mehta, Mikko Myrskylä

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Epidemiology (Cambridge, Mass.), 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 49 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
49citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

49 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Global Prevalence of Cognitive Frailty in Community-Dwelling Older Adults: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.Asia-Pacific psychiatry : official journal of the Pacific Rim College of Psychiatrists · 2026
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  15. Addressing Practice Effects in Population-Based Studies of Trends in Late-Life Dementia and Cognitive Impairment.The journals of gerontology. Series A, Biological sciences and medical sciences · 2024
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  16. Trends in Memory Function and Memory Impairment Among Older Adults in the United States and Europe, 1996-2018.The journals of gerontology. Series A, Biological sciences and medical sciences · 2024
    Article
  17. Racial Differences in the Association Between Loneliness and Cognitive Impairment Among Older Black and White Men.The journals of gerontology. Series A, Biological sciences and medical sciences · 2024
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Jo Mhairi HaleFrom the University of St Andrews, St Andrews, Scotland.
Daniel C SchneiderMax Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany.
Jutta GampeMax Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany.
Neil K MehtaUniversity of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI.
Mikko MyrskyläMax Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany.

Funding

Interdisciplinary Research Training on Health and AgingT32AG027708 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI Lindsay C Kobayashi, Briana Mezuk · 2008 to 2026
$2.7M
Contribution of Behavioral Factors and Chronic Diseases to International Differences in Healthy Life ExpectancyR03AG060404 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI MEHTA, NEIL · 2018 to 2019
$156k
NIA NIH HHS R03 AG060404NIA NIH HHS T32 AG027708
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundAccumulating evidence suggests risk of cognitive impairment is declining in high-income countries. Much of this research uses longitudinal surveys in which learning over repeated tests may bias results. We analyze trends in cognitive impairment in the United States, accounting for prior test experience and selective mortality.

methodsWe use the Health and Retirement Study, a population-based, nationally representative panel dataset and include individuals ages 50 years and older in 1996-2014 (n = 32,784). We measure cognitive impairment and dementia using standard cutpoints of the modified Telephone Interview for Cognitive Status. We estimate logistic regression models for any impairment and dementia over time, adjusting for age, sex, and race/ethnicity, comparing models with and without adjustment for practice effects and education. We examine heterogeneity in trends by age, sex, race/ethnicity, and education.

resultsModels not controlling for test experience suggest that risk of cognitive impairment and dementia decreased over the study period. Controlling for test experience reverses the trend. In our primary models, prevalence of any cognitive impairment increased for women from 18.7% to 21.2% (annual change 0.7%, 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.1%, 1.3%) and for men from 17.6% to 21.0% (annual change 1.0%, CI, 0.5%, 1.4%). For dementia, women's annual increase was 1.7% (CI, 0.8%, 2.6%) and men's 2.0% (CI, 1.0%, 2.9%). If not for education, the increase would have been stronger. Increased risk was particularly rapid for Latinas, the least educated, and older ages.

conclusionsRisk of cognitive impairment increased from 1996 to 2014. Uncovering determinants of increasing cognitive impairment risk should become a research priority. See video abstract: http://links.lww.com/EDE/B702.

Indexed as

Cognitive DysfunctionAgedFemaleHumansLongitudinal StudiesMaleMiddle AgedPrevalenceRisk FactorsUnited States

Identifiers

PMID32740472
PMCPMC7386871

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.