Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32739494›Full record

ArticleContemporary clinical trials2020

Cancer history and risk factors in healthy older people enrolling in the ASPREE clinical trial.

Suzanne G Orchard, Jessica E Lockery, Peter Gibbs, Galina Polekhina, Rory Wolfe, John Zalcberg, Andrew Haydon, John J McNeil, Mark R Nelson, Christopher M Reid and 4 more

Registry-linked trialOpen access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Contemporary clinical trials, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. It is linked to trial NCT01038583 (Aspirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly), which is not on this map. Cited by 9 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed
0.6field-weighted citation impact, top 38% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

NCT01038583 unknown statusnot on this map

Aspirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly

TypeobservationalSponsorHennepin Healthcare Research InstituteRan2010 to 2024Enrolled19,114ConditionsFunctional Disability, Dementia, Heart Disease, StrokeArms100 mg enteric-coated aspirin, Placebo
3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed, 13 citations in OpenAlex.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors at 6 institutions in 2 countries.

Suzanne G OrchardDepartment of Epidemiology & Preventive Medicine, Monash University, 99 Commercial Road, Melbourne, Victoria 3004, Australia. Electronic address: Suzanne.orchard@monash.edu.
Jessica E LockeryDepartment of Epidemiology & Preventive Medicine, Monash University, 99 Commercial Road, Melbourne, Victoria 3004, Australia. Electronic address: Jessica.lockery@monash.edu.
Peter GibbsThe Walter & Eliza Hall Institute of Medical Research, University of Melbourne,1G Royal Parade, Parkville, Victoria 3052, Australia. Electronic address: Peter.gibbs@petermac.org.
Galina PolekhinaDepartment of Epidemiology & Preventive Medicine, Monash University, 99 Commercial Road, Melbourne, Victoria 3004, Australia. Electronic address: Galhina.polekhina@monash.edu.
Rory WolfeDepartment of Epidemiology & Preventive Medicine, Monash University, 99 Commercial Road, Melbourne, Victoria 3004, Australia. Electronic address: Rory.wolfe@monash.edu.
John ZalcbergDepartment of Epidemiology & Preventive Medicine, Monash University, 99 Commercial Road, Melbourne, Victoria 3004, Australia. Electronic address: John.zalcberg@monash.edu.
Andrew HaydonDepartment of Epidemiology & Preventive Medicine, Monash University, 99 Commercial Road, Melbourne, Victoria 3004, Australia. Electronic address: Andrew.haydon@monash.edu.
John J McNeilDepartment of Epidemiology & Preventive Medicine, Monash University, 99 Commercial Road, Melbourne, Victoria 3004, Australia. Electronic address: John.mcneil@monash.edu.
Mark R NelsonMenzies Institute for Medical Research, University of Tasmania, 17 Liverpool St (Private Bag 23), Hobart 7000, Tasmania, Australia. Electronic address: Mark.nelson@utas.edu.au.
Christopher M ReidSchool of Public Health, Curtin University, Kent Street, Bentley, Perth 6102, Western Australia, Australia. Electronic address: Christpher.reid@curtin.edu.au.
Brenda KirpachBerman Center for Outcomes and Clinical Research, Hennepin Healthcare Research Institute (HHRI), 701 Park Avenue, Suite PP7.700, Minneapolis 55415, Minnesota, USA. Electronic address: bkirpach@bermancenter.org.
Anne M MurrayBerman Center for Outcomes and Clinical Research, Hennepin Healthcare Research Institute (HHRI), 701 Park Avenue, Suite PP7.700, Minneapolis 55415, Minnesota, USA; Division of Geriatrics, Department of Medicine, Hennepin Healthcare and University of Minnesota, East River Parkway, Minneapolis 55455, Minnesota, USA. Electronic address: AMurray@bermancenter.org.
Robyn L WoodsDepartment of Epidemiology & Preventive Medicine, Monash University, 99 Commercial Road, Melbourne, Victoria 3004, Australia. Electronic address: Robyn.woods@monash.edu.
ASPREE Investigator Group
Monash University · AUBerman Center for Outcomes and Clinical Research · USCurtin University · AUHennepin Healthcare Research Institute · USUniversity of Tasmania · AUWalter and Eliza Hall Institute of Medical Research · AU

Funding

ASPirin in Reducing Events in the ElderlyU01AG029824 · NIA · HENNEPIN HEALTHCARE RESEARCH INSTITUTE · PI MCNEIL, JOHN JAMES, MURRAY, ANNE M · 2009 to 2018
$64.6M
Main Administrative CoreU19AG062682 · NIA · HENNEPIN HEALTHCARE RESEARCH INSTITUTE · PI MURRAY, ANNE M · 2019 to 2023
$42.9M
Research Education CoreP30AG024824 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN AT ANN ARBOR · PI Neil Alexander · 2004 to 2026
$29.2M
San Antonio OAIC - Research Education Component (REC)P30AG044271 · NIA · UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS HLTH SCIENCE CENTER · PI Adam Salmon, Elena Volpi · 2015 to 2026
$14.1M
Inflammation and Colorectal NeoplasiaR01CA137178 · NCI · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI CHAN, ANDREW T · 2009 to 2019
$6.5M
NCI NIH HHS R01 CA137178NIA NIH HHS P30 AG024824NIA NIH HHS P30 AG044271NIA NIH HHS U01 AG029824NIA NIH HHS U19 AG062682
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

backgroundCancer is a leading cause of death globally. Given the elevated risk of cancer with age and an ageing population, it is important to understand the changing burden of cancer in older populations. The ASPirin in Reducing Events in the Elderly (ASPREE) study randomised healthy older individuals to 100 mg aspirin or placebo, with clinical outcomes and disability-free survival endpoints. Detailed baseline data provides a rare opportunity to explore cancer burden in a uniquely healthy older population.

methodsAt study enrolment (2010-2014), self-reported personal cancer history, cancer type and cancer risk factor data were sought from 19,114 participants (Australia, n = 16,703; U.S., n = 2411). Eligible participants were healthy, free of major diseases and expected to survive 5 years.

resultsNearly 20% of enrolling ASPREE participants reported a prior cancer diagnosis; 18% of women and 22% of men, with women diagnosed younger (16% vs 6% of diagnoses <50 years). Cancer prevalence increased with age. Prevalence of prostate and breast cancer history were higher in U.S. participants; melanoma and colorectal cancer were higher in Australian participants. Cancer history prevalence was not associated with contemporary common risk factors nor previous aspirin use, but was associated with poor health ratings in men. Blood and breast cancer history were more common with past aspirin use.

conclusionsPersonal cancer history in healthy older ASPREE participants was as expected for the most common cancer types in the respective populations, but was not necessarily aligned with known risk factors. We attribute this to survivor bias, likely driven by entry criteria.

trial registrationInternational Standard Randomised Controlled Trial Number Register (ISRCTN83772183) and clinicaltrials.gov (NCT01038583).

Indexed as

AspirinNeoplasmsAgedAustraliaDouble-Blind MethodFemaleHumansMaleRisk FactorsAspirinAspirinCancer epidemiologyCancer prevalenceCancer risk factorsSelection criteriaSurvivor bias

Identifiers

PMID32739494
PMCPMC8009087
OpenAlexW3045988826

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Registered trials

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.