Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32728911›Full record

ArticleCalcified tissue international2020

Machine Learning Approaches for Fracture Risk Assessment: A Comparative Analysis of Genomic and Phenotypic Data in 5130 Older Men.

Qing Wu, Fatma Nasoz, Jongyun Jung, Bibek Bhattarai, Mira V Han

Open access · greenAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Calcified tissue international, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 17 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
17citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
3.2field-weighted citation impact, top 8% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

17 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 33 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. The development and validation of a prediction model for imminent vertebral osteoporotic fracture in postmenopausal women.European spine journal : official publication of the European Spine Society, the European Spinal Deformity Society, and the European Section of the Cervical Spine Research Society · 2026
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  3. Article
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  5. Ensemble-learning approach improves fracture prediction using genomic and phenotypic data.Osteoporosis international : a journal established as result of cooperation between the European Foundation for Osteoporosis and the National Osteoporosis Foundation of the USA · 2025
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  6. Review
  7. Enhanced osteoporotic fracture prediction in postmenopausal women using Bayesian optimization of machine learning models with genetic risk score.Journal of bone and mineral research : the official journal of the American Society for Bone and Mineral Research · 2024
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors at 1 institution in 1 country.

Qing WuNevada Institute of Personalized Medicine, University of Nevada, Las Vegas, 4505 Maryland Parkway, Las Vegas, NV, 89154-4009, USA. qing.wu@unlv.edu.ORCID 0000-0003-4679-8903
Fatma NasozDepartment of Computer Science, University of Nevada, Las Vegas, NV, USA.
Jongyun JungNevada Institute of Personalized Medicine, University of Nevada, Las Vegas, 4505 Maryland Parkway, Las Vegas, NV, 89154-4009, USA.ORCID 0000-0002-9258-5397
Bibek BhattaraiDepartment of Computer Science, University of Nevada, Las Vegas, NV, USA.
Mira V HanNevada Institute of Personalized Medicine, University of Nevada, Las Vegas, 4505 Maryland Parkway, Las Vegas, NV, 89154-4009, USA.
University of Nevada, Las Vegas · US

Funding

The Genome Analysis and Sequencing Pipeline (GASP)P20GM121325 · NIGMS · UNIVERSITY OF NEVADA LAS VEGAS · PI GUHA, PRASUN · 2018 to 2022
$11.5M
Developing Model-based Bone Density Reference Values for African-American WomenR15MD010475 · NIMHD · UNIVERSITY OF NEVADA LAS VEGAS · PI WU, QING · 2017 to 2017
$448k
NIGMS NIH HHS P20 GM121325NIMHD NIH HHS R15 MD010475
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The study aims were to develop fracture prediction models by using machine learning approaches and genomic data, as well as to identify the best modeling approach for fracture prediction. The genomic data of Osteoporotic Fractures in Men, cohort Study (n = 5130), were analyzed. After a comprehensive genotype imputation, genetic risk score (GRS) was calculated from 1103 associated Single Nucleotide Polymorphisms for each participant. Data were normalized and split into a training set (80%) and a validation set (20%) for analysis. Random forest, gradient boosting, neural network, and logistic regression were used to develop prediction models for major osteoporotic fractures separately, with GRS, bone density, and other risk factors as predictors. In model training, the synthetic minority oversampling technique was used to account for low fracture rate, and tenfold cross-validation was employed for hyperparameters optimization. In the testing, the area under curve (AUC) and accuracy were used to assess the model performance. The McNemar test was employed to examine the accuracy difference between models. The results showed that the prediction performance of gradient boosting was the best, with AUC of 0.71 and an accuracy of 0.88, and the GRS ranked as the 7th most important variable in the model. The performance of random forest and neural network were also significantly better than that of logistic regression. This study suggested that improving fracture prediction in older men can be achieved by incorporating genetic profiling and by utilizing the gradient boosting approach. This result should not be extrapolated to women or young individuals.

Indexed as

Bone DensityMachine LearningRisk AssessmentActivities of Daily LivingAgedAged, 80 and overCohort StudiesFractures, BoneGenomicsHumansMalePhenotypeComparisonFractureGenomicsMachine learningOsteoporosis

Identifiers

PMID32728911
PMCPMC7492432
OpenAlexW3045580770

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.