Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32727292›Full record

ArticlePerspectives on psychological science : a journal of the Association for Psychological Science2020

The Taboo Against Explicit Causal Inference in Nonexperimental Psychology.

Michael P Grosz, Julia M Rohrer, Felix Thoemmes

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Perspectives on psychological science : a journal of the Association for Psychological Science, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 65 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
65citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

65 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Health-related outcomes of youth sport participation: a systematic review and meta-analysis.The international journal of behavioral nutrition and physical activity · 2025
    Pooled it
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  6. Editorial Journal of Psycholinguistic Research.Journal of psycholinguistic research · 2026
    Article
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  12. Personality Genomics.Annual review of psychology · 2026
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  20. Experience sampling method studies in physical activity research: the relevance of causal reasoning.The international journal of behavioral nutrition and physical activity · 2025
    Article

5 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Michael P GroszDepartment of Psychology, University of Münster.ORCID 0000-0002-1949-4384
Julia M RohrerInternational Max Planck Research School on the Life Course, Max Planck Institute for Human Development.ORCID 0000-0001-8564-4523
Felix ThoemmesDepartment of Human Development, Cornell University.

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Causal inference is a central goal of research. However, most psychologists refrain from explicitly addressing causal research questions and avoid drawing causal inference on the basis of nonexperimental evidence. We argue that this taboo against causal inference in nonexperimental psychology impairs study design and data analysis, holds back cumulative research, leads to a disconnect between original findings and how they are interpreted in subsequent work, and limits the relevance of nonexperimental psychology for policymaking. At the same time, the taboo does not prevent researchers from interpreting findings as causal effects-the inference is simply made implicitly, and assumptions remain unarticulated. Thus, we recommend that nonexperimental psychologists begin to talk openly about causal assumptions and causal effects. Only then can researchers take advantage of recent methodological advances in causal reasoning and analysis and develop a solid understanding of the underlying causal mechanisms that can inform future research, theory, and policymakers.

Indexed as

CausalityObservational Studies as TopicPsychologyResearchHumanscausal inferenceinstrumental-variable estimationnonexperimentalobservational studies

Identifiers

PMID32727292
PMCPMC7472833

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.