ArticleScientific reports2020
AeDES: a next-generation monitoring and forecasting system for environmental suitability of Aedes-borne disease transmission.
Article in Scientific reports, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
16 citing papers in PubMed, 34 citations in OpenAlex.
- Tropical oceans drive variability in soil moisture and malaria in Malawi.Communications medicine · 2026Article
- EnhancingRemote sensing applications : society and environment · 2026Article
- West Nile Virus Transmission Suitability Modeling forGeoHealth · 2026Article
- Detection of Aedes (Fredwardsius) vittatus Mosquitoes, Yucatán Peninsula, Mexico, 2025.Emerging infectious diseases · 2025Article
- Predictability of infectious disease outbreak severity: Chikungunya as a case study.Science advances · 2025Article
- Forecasting Dengue: Evaluating the Role of Hydroclimate Information in Subseasonal to Seasonal Prediction.GeoHealth · 2025Article
- Tropical Diseases in the United States: Beyond Poverty - Advancing an Ecological Framework in Tropical Medicine.The American journal of tropical medicine and hygiene · 2024Article
- Effective Mosquito Repellents: Myrcene- and Cymene-Loaded Nanohydrogels againstPharmaceutics · 2024Article
- Convergent trends and spatiotemporal patterns of Aedes-borne arboviruses in Mexico and Central America.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2023Article
- A comparison of seasonal rainfall forecasts over Central America using dynamic and hybrid approaches from Copernicus Climate Change Service seasonal forecasting system and the North American Multimodel Ensemble.International journal of climatology : a journal of the Royal Meteorological Society · 2023Article
- The 2022 South America report of TheLancet regional health. Americas · 2023Review
- Strategies for managing marine disease.Ecological applications : a publication of the Ecological Society of America · 2022Article
- Estimating and forecasting the burden and spread of Colombia's SARS-CoV2 first wave.Scientific reports · 2022Article
- Health Interventions for Preventing Climate-Sensitive Diseases: Scoping Review.Journal of urban health : bulletin of the New York Academy of Medicine · 2022Article
- Climate-proofing a malaria eradication strategy.Malaria journal · 2021Review
- Article
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
8 authors at 5 institutions in 2 countries.
Funding
Abstract
Aedes-borne diseases, such as dengue and chikungunya, are responsible for more than 50 million infections worldwide every year, with an overall increase of 30-fold in the last 50 years, mainly due to city population growth, more frequent travels and ecological changes. In the United States of America, the vast majority of Aedes-borne infections are imported from endemic regions by travelers, who can become new sources of mosquito infection upon their return home if the exposed population is susceptible to the disease, and if suitable environmental conditions for the mosquitoes and the virus are present. Since the susceptibility of the human population can be determined via periodic monitoring campaigns, the environmental suitability for the presence of mosquitoes and viruses becomes one of the most important pieces of information for decision makers in the health sector. We present a next-generation monitoring and forecasting system for [Formula: see text]-borne diseases' environmental suitability (AeDES) of transmission in the conterminous United States and transboundary regions, using calibrated ento-epidemiological models, climate models and temperature observations. After analyzing the seasonal predictive skill of AeDES, we briefly consider the recent Zika epidemic, and the compound effects of the current Central American dengue outbreak happening during the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic, to illustrate how a combination of tailored deterministic and probabilistic forecasts can inform key prevention and control strategies .
Indexed as
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.