Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32724171›Full record

ArticleNature microbiology2020

Evolutionary origins of the SARS-CoV-2 sarbecovirus lineage responsible for the COVID-19 pandemic.

Maciej F Boni, Philippe Lemey, Xiaowei Jiang, Tommy Tsan-Yuk Lam, Blair W Perry, Todd A Castoe, Andrew Rambaut, David L Robertson

Open access · bronzeAbstract read
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in Nature microbiology, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 590 papers, 3 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
590citing papers in PubMed, 3 pooled it
24.1field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

590 citing papers in PubMed, 3 syntheses or guidelines pooled it, 1,062 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  10. Viral syncytia evolve to resist interferon.Nature communications · 2026
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530 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

8 authors at 7 institutions in 6 countries.

Maciej F Boni *Center for Infectious Disease Dynamics, Department of Biology, Pennsylvania State University, University Park, PA, USA. mfb9@psu.edu.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-0830-9630
Philippe Lemey *Department of Microbiology, Immunology and Transplantation, KU Leuven, Rega Institute, Leuven, Belgium. philippe.lemey@kuleuven.be.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-2826-5353
Xiaowei JiangDepartment of Biological Sciences, Xi'an Jiaotong-Liverpool University, Suzhou, China.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-6030-1249
Tommy Tsan-Yuk LamState Key Laboratory of Emerging Infectious Diseases, School of Public Health, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong SAR, China.
Blair W PerryDepartment of Biology, University of Texas Arlington, Arlington, TX, USA.
Todd A CastoeDepartment of Biology, University of Texas Arlington, Arlington, TX, USA.
Andrew RambautInstitute of Evolutionary Biology, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK. a.rambaut@ed.ac.uk.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0003-4337-3707
David L RobertsonMRC-University of Glasgow Centre for Virus Research, Glasgow, UK. david.l.robertson@glasgow.ac.uk.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0001-6338-0221
The University of Texas at Arlington · USInstitut de Biologia Evolutiva · ESMRC University of Glasgow Centre for Virus Research · GBPennsylvania State University · USRega Institute for Medical Research · BEUniversity of Hong Kong · HKXi’an Jiaotong-Liverpool University · CN

Funding

Fonds Wetenschappelijk Onderzoek (Research Foundation Flanders) G0B9317NFonds Wetenschappelijk Onderzoek (Research Foundation Flanders) G0D5117NMedical Research Council MC_PC_19026Medical Research Council MC_UU_12014/12RCUK | Medical Research Council (MRC) MC_UU_1201412Wellcome Trust (Wellcome) 206298/Z/17/Z
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

There are outstanding evolutionary questions on the recent emergence of human coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 including the role of reservoir species, the role of recombination and its time of divergence from animal viruses. We find that the sarbecoviruses-the viral subgenus containing SARS-CoV and SARS-CoV-2-undergo frequent recombination and exhibit spatially structured genetic diversity on a regional scale in China. SARS-CoV-2 itself is not a recombinant of any sarbecoviruses detected to date, and its receptor-binding motif, important for specificity to human ACE2 receptors, appears to be an ancestral trait shared with bat viruses and not one acquired recently via recombination. To employ phylogenetic dating methods, recombinant regions of a 68-genome sarbecovirus alignment were removed with three independent methods. Bayesian evolutionary rate and divergence date estimates were shown to be consistent for these three approaches and for two different prior specifications of evolutionary rates based on HCoV-OC43 and MERS-CoV. Divergence dates between SARS-CoV-2 and the bat sarbecovirus reservoir were estimated as 1948 (95% highest posterior density (HPD): 1879-1999), 1969 (95% HPD: 1930-2000) and 1982 (95% HPD: 1948-2009), indicating that the lineage giving rise to SARS-CoV-2 has been circulating unnoticed in bats for decades.

Indexed as

Angiotensin-Converting Enzyme 2AnimalsBayes TheoremBetacoronavirusChinaChiropteraCoronavirus InfectionsCOVID-19Evolution, MolecularGenetic VariationGenome, ViralHumansPandemicsPeptidyl-Dipeptidase APhylogenyPneumonia, ViralACE2 protein, humanAngiotensin-Converting Enzyme 2Peptidyl-Dipeptidase A

Identifiers

PMID32724171
OpenAlexW3046218112

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.