ArticleeLife2020
The effect of climate change on yellow fever disease burden in Africa.
Article in eLife, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 38 papers.
What it found
Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.
The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.
The trial behind it
Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.
Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.
Who cites it
38 citing papers in PubMed, 53 citations in OpenAlex.
- Article
- Climate change impact on disease emergence and antimicrobial resistance: A perspective on transmission and detection.iScience · 2026Review
- Yellow fever outbreak potential in Djibouti, Somalia and Yemen: a mathematical modelling study.BMC global and public health · 2026Article
- Trends, regional disparities, and projected burden of anemia among women of reproductive age in Ghana, 2000-2030.Reproductive health · 2026Article
- Methods for estimating the burden of acute tropical infectious diseases: A scoping review.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2026Article
- Triple Burden in the Democratic Republic of Congo: Climate Change, Armed Conflict, and the Silent Spread of Arboviruses. A Narrative Review.Health science reports · 2026Article
- Mesenteric Ischemia and Bacterial Translocation Precipitate the Intoxication Phase of Yellow Fever.The Journal of infectious diseases · 2026Article
- Yellow Fever, an Arboviral Disease with Public Health Impacts: General Aspects and the Use of the One Health Approach in the Context of This Zoonosis.Infection and drug resistance · 2026Review
- Risk assessment and mitigation evaluation of future yellow fever outbreaks under different climate scenarios: Insight from a case study of Brazil.PLoS neglected tropical diseases · 2025Article
- Priorities for modelling arbovirus transmission under climate change.Trends in molecular medicine · 2025Review
- Yellow Fever Virus Interactomes Reveal Common and Divergent Strategies of Replication and Evolution for Mosquito-borne Flaviviruses.bioRxiv : the preprint server for biology · 2025Article
- Evaluating the role of observational uncertainty in climate impact assessments: Temperature-driven yellow fever risk in South America.PLOS climate · 2025Article
- Yellow Fever in Non-Human Primates: A Veterinary Guide from a One Health Perspective.Veterinary sciences · 2025Review
- Mapping climate change-driven epidemics.Frontiers in epidemiology · 2025Article
- Mechanistic yellow fever modelling under climate change in Brazil and beyond: Information gaps and future steps.Wellcome open research · 2025Article
- Consensus Statements on Assessments and Vaccinations Prior to Commencement of Advanced Therapies for the Treatment of Inflammatory Bowel Diseases.Alimentary pharmacology & therapeutics · 2025Article
- Effects of climate change and human activities on vector-borne diseases.Nature reviews. Microbiology · 2024Review
- Potential climate change effects on the distribution of urban and sylvatic dengue and yellow fever vectors.Pathogens and global health · 2024Article
- A proposed One Health approach to control yellow fever outbreaks in Uganda.One health outlook · 2024Review
- Climate Change and Human Health in Africa in Relation to Opportunities to Strengthen Mitigating Potential and Adaptive Capacity: Strategies to Inform an African "Brains Trust".Annals of global health · 2024Review
Corrections and comments
PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.
Authors and funding
5 authors at 2 institutions in 2 countries.
Funding
Abstract
Yellow Fever (YF) is an arbovirus endemic in tropical regions of South America and Africa and it is estimated to cause 78,000 deaths a year in Africa alone. Climate change may have substantial effects on the transmission of YF and we present the first analysis of the potential impact on disease burden. We extend an existing model of YF transmission to account for rainfall and a temperature suitability index and project transmission intensity across the African endemic region in the context of four climate change scenarios. We use these transmission projections to assess the change in burden in 2050 and 2070. We find disease burden changes heterogeneously across the region. In the least severe scenario, we find a 93.0%[95%CI(92.7, 93.2%)] chance that annual deaths will increase in 2050. This change in epidemiology will complicate future control efforts. Thus, we may need to consider the effect of changing climatic variables on future intervention strategies.
Indexed as
Identifiers
What OpenQuestion holds
Registered trials
Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.