Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32715359›Full record

ArticleNeurosurgical review2021

Retrospective application of risk scores to ruptured intracranial aneurysms: would they have predicted the risk of bleeding?

Carmelo Lucio Sturiale, Vittorio Stumpo, Luca Ricciardi, Gianluca Trevisi, Iacopo Valente, Sonia D'Arrigo, Kristy Latour, Paolo Barbone, Alessio Albanese

Abstract readMulticenter Study
PubMed Publisher
In one paragraph

Article in Neurosurgical review, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
1.3field-weighted citation impact, top 15% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 26 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
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  5. In Vivo Deformation of the Human Basilar Artery.Annals of biomedical engineering · 2025
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

9 authors at 3 institutions in 1 country.

Carmelo Lucio SturialeDepartment of Neurosurgery, Fondazione Policlinico Universitario A. Gemelli IRCCS, Rome, Italy.
Vittorio StumpoInstitute of Neurosurgery, Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, Rome, Italy. vittorio.stumpo@yahoo.it.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-8175-0035
Luca RicciardiInstitute of Neurosurgery, Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, Rome, Italy.
Gianluca TrevisiDepartment of Neurosurgery, Santo Spirito Hospital, Università degli Studi di Chieti-Pescara, Chieti, Italy.
Iacopo ValenteDepartment of Bioimaging, Fondazione Policlinico Universitario A. Gemelli IRCCS, Rome, Italy.
Sonia D'ArrigoDepartment of Anesthesiology and Intensive Care, Fodazione Policlinico Universitario A. Gemelli IRCCS, Rome, Italy.
Kristy LatourInstitute of Neurosurgery, Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, Rome, Italy.
Paolo BarboneDepartment of Neurosurgery, Santo Spirito Hospital, Università degli Studi di Chieti-Pescara, Chieti, Italy.
Alessio AlbaneseDepartment of Neurosurgery, Fondazione Policlinico Universitario A. Gemelli IRCCS, Rome, Italy.
Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore · ITAgostino Gemelli University Polyclinic · ITUniversity of Chieti-Pescara · IT

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

As the incidental diagnosis of unruptured intracranial aneurysms has been increasing, several scores were developed to predict risk of rupture and growth to guide the management choice. We retrospectively applied these scores to a multicenter series of patients with subarachnoid hemorrhage to test whether they would have predicted the risk of bleeding in the event of aneurysm discovery previous to its rupture. Demographical, clinical, and radiological information of 245 adults were retrieved from two neurovascular centers' database. Data were pooled and PHASES, UCAS, and ELAPSS scores were retrospectively calculated for the whole population and their performances in identifying aneurysms at risk of rupture were compared. Mean PHASES, UCAS, and ELAPSS scores were 5.12 ± 3.08, 5.09 ± 2.62, and 15.88 ± 8.07, respectively. Around half (46%) of patients would have been assigned to the low- or very low-risk class (5-year rupture risk < 1%) in PHASES. Around 28% of patients would have been in a low-risk class, with a probability of 3-year rupture risk < 1% according to UCAS. Finally, ELAPSS score application showed a wider distribution among the risk classes, but a significant proportion of patients (45.5%) lie in the low- or intermediate-risk class for aneurysm growth. A high percentage of patients with ruptured aneurysms in this multicenter cohort would have been assigned to the lower risk categories for aneurysm growth and rupture with all the tested scores if they had been discovered before the rupture. Based on these observations, physicians should be careful about drawing therapeutic conclusions solely based on application of these scores.

Indexed as

AdultAgedAneurysm, RupturedCohort StudiesDatabases, FactualFemaleHumansIntracranial AneurysmMaleMiddle AgedPredictive Value of TestsRetrospective StudiesRisk FactorsSubarachnoid HemorrhageELAPSS scoreIntracranial aneurysmPHASES scoreSubarachnoid hemorrhageUCAS study

Identifiers

PMID32715359
OpenAlexW3043911550

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.