ArticleScientific reports2020
Estimating the introduction time of highly pathogenic avian influenza into poultry flocks.
Article in Scientific reports, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 16 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.
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Who cites it
16 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.
- A systematic review of mechanistic models used to study avian influenza virus transmission and control.Veterinary research · 2023Pooled it
- Determining the Environmental and Ecological Factors Associated With Poultry Farm Spillover of Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza (H5N1) in British Columbia, Canada.Zoonoses and public health · 2026Article
- Multidrug-resistance in backyard poultry and their link to management and biosecurity conditions in Eastern Spain.Poultry science · 2026Article
- Modelling a potential zoonotic spillover event of H5N1 influenza.BMC public health · 2025Article
- Detection of Hemagglutinin H5 Influenza A Virus RNA and Model of Potential Inputs in an Urban California Sewershed.Environmental science & technology · 2025Article
- Optimizing contact tracing for avian influenza in poultry flocks.Journal of the Royal Society, Interface · 2025Article
- Preparedness, prevention and control related to zoonotic avian influenza.EFSA journal. European Food Safety Authority · 2025Article
- Association between highly pathogenic avian influenza outbreaks and weather conditions in Japan.The Journal of veterinary medical science · 2024Article
- Vaccination of poultry against highly pathogenic avian influenza - Part 2. Surveillance and mitigation measures.EFSA journal. European Food Safety Authority · 2024Article
- Article
- Vaccination of poultry against highly pathogenic avian influenza - part 1. Available vaccines and vaccination strategies.EFSA journal. European Food Safety Authority · 2023Article
- Investigation into a Superspreading Event of the German 2020-2021 Avian Influenza Epidemic.Pathogens (Basel, Switzerland) · 2022Article
- Inferring within-flock transmission dynamics of highly pathogenic avian influenza H5N8 virus in France, 2020.Transboundary and emerging diseases · 2021Article
- Exploiting Pan Influenza A and Pan Influenza B Pseudotype Libraries for Efficient Vaccine Antigen Selection.Vaccines · 2021Article
- Review
- Scientific Opinion on the assessment of the control measures of the category A diseases of Animal Health Law: Highly Pathogenic Avian Influenza.EFSA journal. European Food Safety Authority · 2021Article
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Authors and funding
7 authors.
Funding
No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.
Abstract
The estimation of farm-specific time windows for the introduction of highly-pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) virus can be used to increase the efficiency of disease control measures such as contact tracing and may help to identify risk factors for virus introduction. The aims of this research are to (1) develop and test an accurate approach for estimating farm-specific virus introduction windows and (2) evaluate this approach by applying it to 11 outbreaks of HPAI (H5N8) on Dutch commercial poultry farms during the years 2014 and 2016. We used a stochastic simulation model with susceptible, infectious and recovered/removed disease stages to generate distributions for the period from virus introduction to detection. The model was parameterized using data from the literature, except for the within-flock transmission rate, which was estimated from disease-induced mortality data using two newly developed methods that describe HPAI outbreaks using either a deterministic model (A) or a stochastic approach (B). Model testing using simulated outbreaks showed that both method A and B performed well. Application to field data showed that method A could be successfully applied to 8 out of 11 HPAI H5N8 outbreaks and is the most generally applicable one, when data on disease-induced mortality is scarce.
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