Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32708856›Full record

ArticleCancers2020

Multi-Marker Longitudinal Algorithms Incorporating HE4 and CA125 in Ovarian Cancer Screening of Postmenopausal Women.

Aleksandra Gentry-Maharaj, Oleg Blyuss, Andy Ryan, Matthew Burnell, Chloe Karpinskyj, Richard Gunu, Jatinderpal K Kalsi, Anne Dawnay, Ines P Marino, Ranjit Manchanda and 9 more

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Cancers, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 15 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
15citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
3.4field-weighted citation impact, top 8% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

15 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 33 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Causal inference in the diagnosis and prognosis of ovarian cancer: current state and future directions.Clinical & translational oncology : official publication of the Federation of Spanish Oncology Societies and of the National Cancer Institute of Mexico · 2025
    Pooled it
  2. Review
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Review
  6. Article
  7. Screening and prevention of ovarian cancer.The Medical journal of Australia · 2024
    Review
  8. Review
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Molecular Biomarkers for the Early Detection of Ovarian Cancer.International journal of molecular sciences · 2022
    Review
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Screening for Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma: Are We Asking the Impossible?Cancer prevention research (Philadelphia, Pa.) · 2021
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

19 authors at 10 institutions in 5 countries.

Aleksandra Gentry-MaharajMRC Clinical Trials Unit at UCL, Institute of Clinical Trials & Methodology, London WC1V 6LJ, UK.
Oleg BlyussSchool of Physics, Astronomy and Mathematics, University of Hertfordshire, Hatfield AL10 9AB, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-0194-6389
Andy RyanMRC Clinical Trials Unit at UCL, Institute of Clinical Trials & Methodology, London WC1V 6LJ, UK.
Matthew BurnellMRC Clinical Trials Unit at UCL, Institute of Clinical Trials & Methodology, London WC1V 6LJ, UK.
Chloe KarpinskyjMRC Clinical Trials Unit at UCL, Institute of Clinical Trials & Methodology, London WC1V 6LJ, UK.
Richard GunuDepartment of Women's Cancer, Institute for Women's Health, University College London, London WC1E 6BT, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-8745-4915
Jatinderpal K KalsiDepartment of Women's Cancer, Institute for Women's Health, University College London, London WC1E 6BT, UK.
Anne DawnayClinical Biochemistry, Barts Health NHS Trust, London E1 8PR, UK.
Ines P MarinoDepartment of Biology and Geology, Physics and Inorganic Chemistry, Universidad Rey Juan Carlos, 28933 Madrid, Spain.ORCID 0000-0003-0152-0174
Ranjit ManchandaMRC Clinical Trials Unit at UCL, Institute of Clinical Trials & Methodology, London WC1V 6LJ, UK.ORCID 0000-0003-3381-5057
Karen LuUniversity of Texas M.D. Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, TX 77030, USA.
Wei-Lei YangUniversity of Texas M.D. Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, TX 77030, USA.
John F TimmsDepartment of Women's Cancer, Institute for Women's Health, University College London, London WC1E 6BT, UK.ORCID 0000-0002-4507-835X
Max ParmarMRC Clinical Trials Unit at UCL, Institute of Clinical Trials & Methodology, London WC1V 6LJ, UK.
Steven J SkatesMassachusetts General Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA 02114, USA.
Robert C BastUniversity of Texas M.D. Anderson Cancer Center, Houston, TX 77030, USA.ORCID 0000-0003-4621-8462
Ian J JacobsDepartment of Women's Cancer, Institute for Women's Health, University College London, London WC1E 6BT, UK.
Alexey ZaikinDepartment of Paediatrics and Paediatric Infectious Diseases, Sechenov First Moscow State Medical University, Moscow 119991, Russia.
Usha MenonMRC Clinical Trials Unit at UCL, Institute of Clinical Trials & Methodology, London WC1V 6LJ, UK.ORCID 0000-0003-3708-1732
MRC Clinical Trials Unit at UCL · GBThe University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center · USUniversity College London · GBBarts Health NHS Trust · GBHarvard University · USSechenov University · RUSt Bartholomew's Hospital · GBUniversidad Rey Juan Carlos · ESUniversity of Hertfordshire · GBUNSW Sydney · AU

Funding

Proteomic, Genomic, and Longitudinal Pathways to Ovarian Cancer Biomarker DiscoveryU01CA152990 · NCI · MASSACHUSETTS GENERAL HOSPITAL · PI BIRRER, MICHAEL, SKATES, STEVEN J · 2010 to 2021
$8.9M
U.T. M. D. Anderson Cancer Center SPORE in Ovarian CancerP50CA217685 · NCI · UNIVERSITY OF TX MD ANDERSON CAN CTR · PI SOOD, ANIL K · 2017 to 2021
$7.9M
Cancer Research UK 26223Cancer Research UK A12677, C1479/A2884Medical Research Council G0801228Medical Research Council G9901012Medical Research Council MC_UU_12023/20Medical Research Council MR/R02524X/1Medical Research Council MR_UU_12023, G9901012, G0801228, MR/R02524X/1NCI NIH HHS CA152990, 5 U01 CA200462-02NCI NIH HHS P50 CA217685
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Longitudinal CA125 algorithms are the current basis of ovarian cancer screening. We report on longitudinal algorithms incorporating multiple markers. In the multimodal arm of United Kingdom Collaborative Trial of Ovarian Cancer Screening (UKCTOCS), 50,640 postmenopausal women underwent annual screening using a serum CA125 longitudinal algorithm. Women (cases) with invasive tubo-ovarian cancer (WHO 2014) following outcome review with stored annual serum samples donated in the 5 years preceding diagnosis were matched 1:1 to controls (no invasive tubo-ovarian cancer) in terms of the number of annual samples and age at randomisation. Blinded samples were assayed for serum human epididymis protein 4 (HE4), CA72-4 and anti-TP53 autoantibodies. Multimarker method of mean trends (MMT) longitudinal algorithms were developed using the assay results and trial CA125 values on the training set and evaluated in the blinded validation set. The study set comprised of 1363 (2-5 per woman) serial samples from 179 cases and 181 controls. In the validation set, area under the curve (AUC) and sensitivity of longitudinal CA125-MMT algorithm were 0.911 (0.871-0.952) and 90.5% (82.5-98.6%). None of the longitudinal multi-marker algorithms (CA125-HE4, CA125-HE4-CA72-4, CA125-HE4-CA72-4-anti-TP53) performed better or improved on lead-time. Our population study suggests that longitudinal HE4, CA72-4, anti-TP53 autoantibodies adds little value to longitudinal serum CA125 as a first-line test in ovarian cancer screening of postmenopausal women.

Indexed as

CA125HE4MMTovarian cancerpostmenopausal womenscreeningUKCTOCS

Identifiers

PMID32708856
PMCPMC7409061
OpenAlexW3042643553

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.