The predictive factors for postoperative hypoparathyroidism and its severity on the first postoperative day after papillary thyroid carcinoma surgery.

purposeThe purpose of the study was to investigate the predictive factors for hypoparathyroidism and its severity on the first postoperative day (POD1) after total thyroidectomy (TT) with or without central neck dissection (CND) in patients with papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC).

methodsFrom February 2014 to February 2019, 2550 PTC patients were admitted to our department. PTC patients who underwent TT were enrolled in this study. A parathyroid hormone (PTH) level lower than 15 pg/mL on POD1 was defined as hypoparathyroidism, and the severity of hypoparathyroidism was classified into three categories according to the level of PTH on POD1: mild hypoparathyroidism (10 pg/mL ≤ PTH < 15 pg/mL), moderate hypoparathyroidism (5 g/mL ≤ PTH < 10 pg/mL), and severe hypoparathyroidism (PTH < 5 pg/mL). Multiple clinical, pathological and surgical parameters of these two different groups were compared and analyzed to demonstrate the possible causes of hypoparathyroidism. Furthermore, patients who developed postoperative hypoparathyroidism were also included in a subgroup analysis according to the severity of their hypoparathyroidism. The underlying factors affecting different severities of hypoparathyroidism were also illustrated with univariate and multivariate analyses.

resultsUltimately, 690 patients who underwent TT were enrolled in this retrospective study. Through the univariate analysis, different surgeons (P < 0.001), extent of CND (P = 0.009), prophylactic calcium supplementation (PCS) (P < 0.001), preoperative (pre-op) PTH level (P < 0.001), and pre-op phosphorus concentration (P = 0.022) were found to be significantly correlated with postoperative hypoparathyroidism. According to the multivariate analysis, PCS was the only independent high-risk factor for hypoparathyroidism. In the univariate analysis of patient subgroups with different severities of hypoparathyroidism, we demonstrated that the tumor T stage (P = 0.021) and pre-op PTH level (P < 0.001) were associated with the severity of hypoparathyroidism. Furthermore, after the multivariate analysis, hypertension (P < 0.001) and pre-op PTH (P < 0.001) were the two independent predictive factors for the severity of hypoparathyroidism after surgery.

conclusionsPostoperative PCS could increase the risk for PTC patients developing hypoparathyroidism after thyroid surgery. Patients with a history of hypertension and a relatively high pre-op PTH level may not develop severe hypoparathyroidism after TT with CND.