Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32690495›Full record

ArticleBMJ open2020

Moving beyond the Cox proportional hazards model in survival data analysis: a cervical cancer study.

Lixian Li, Zijing Yang, Yawen Hou, Zheng Chen

Abstract readComparative Study
In one paragraph

Article in BMJ open, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 9 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
9citing papers in PubMed
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

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Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

9 citing papers in PubMed.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Lixian LiDepartment of Medical Matters, Puning People's Hospital, Puning, China.
Zijing YangDepartment of Biostatistics, School of Public Health (Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Tropical Disease Research), Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, China.
Yawen HouDepartment of Statistics, School of Economics, Jinan University, Guangzhou, China.
Zheng ChenDepartment of Biostatistics, School of Public Health (Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Tropical Disease Research), Southern Medical University, Guangzhou, China zheng-chen@hotmail.com.ORCID 0000-0003-3201-2666

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesThis study explored the prognostic factors and developed a prediction model for Chinese-American (CA) cervical cancer (CC) patients. We compared two alternative models (the restricted mean survival time (RMST) model and the proportional baselines landmark supermodel (PBLS model, producing dynamic prediction)) versus the Cox proportional hazards model in the context of time-varying effects. SETTING AND DATA SOURCES: A total of 713 CA women with CC and available covariates (age at diagnosis, International Federation of Gynecology and Obstetrics (FIGO) stage, lymph node metastasis and radiation) from the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results database were included.

designWe applied the Cox proportional hazards model to analyse the all-cause mortality with the proportional hazards assumption. Additionally, we applied two alternative models to analyse covariates with time-varying effects. The performances of the models were compared using the C-index for discrimination and the shrinkage slope for calibration.

resultsOlder patients had a worse survival rate than younger patients. Advanced FIGO stage patients showed a relatively poor survival rate and low life expectancy. Lymph node metastasis was an unfavourable prognostic factor in our models. Age at diagnosis, FIGO stage and lymph node metastasis represented time-varying effects from the PBLS model. Additionally, radiation showed no impact on survival in any model. Dynamic prediction presented a better performance for 5-year dynamic death rates than did the Cox proportional hazards model.

conclusionsWith the time-varying effects, the RMST model was suggested to explore diagnosis factors, and the PBLS model was recommended to predict a patient's

Indexed as

Survival AnalysisAdolescentAdultAgedAged, 80 and overAge of OnsetAsianFemaleHumansLymphatic MetastasisMiddle AgedNeoplasm StagingProportional Hazards ModelsSEER ProgramUterine Cervical Neoplasmscervical cancerdynamic predictionlandmark analysisrestricted mean survival timeviolation of proportional hazards assumption

Identifiers

PMID32690495
PMCPMC7371360

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.