Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32685698›Full record

ArticleWellcome open research2020

Estimating the overdispersion in COVID-19 transmission using outbreak sizes outside China.

Akira Endo, Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases COVID-19 Working Group, Sam Abbott, Adam J Kucharski, Sebastian Funk

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Wellcome open research, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 356 papers, 5 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
356citing papers in PubMed, 5 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

356 citing papers in PubMed, 5 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Pooled it
  3. Pooled it
  4. Pooled it
  5. Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) Setting-specific Transmission Rates: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis.Clinical infectious diseases : an official publication of the Infectious Diseases Society of America · 2021
    Pooled it
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Article
  10. Article
  11. Article
  12. Exploring novel kinetics of automated HMicrobiology spectrum · 2026
    Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
  16. Article
  17. Article
  18. Inferring pathogen superspreading potential using early spatial spread patterns.medRxiv : the preprint server for health sciences · 2025
    Article
  19. Article
  20. Article

296 more citing papers are in PubMed but not listed here.

4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

5 authors.

Akira EndoDepartment of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, WC1E 7HT, UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6377-7296
Centre for the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases COVID-19 Working Group
Sam AbbottDepartment of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, WC1E 7HT, UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0001-8057-8037
Adam J KucharskiDepartment of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, WC1E 7HT, UK.
Sebastian FunkDepartment of Infectious Disease Epidemiology, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, WC1E 7HT, UK.ORCID https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2842-3406

Funding

Medical Research Council MR/S003975/1Wellcome Trust
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

PubMed holds no abstract for this paper.

Indexed as

branching processCOVID-19novel coronavirusoverdispersionSARS-CoV-2superspreading

Identifiers

PMID32685698
PMCPMC7338915

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.