Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32685361›Full record

ArticlePreventive medicine reports2020

Simulations of future cardiometabolic disease and life expectancy under counterfactual obesity reduction scenarios.

Anne Mette Bender, Jan Sørensen, Astrid Holm, Kenneth Simonsen, Finn Diderichsen, Henrik Brønnum-Hansen

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Preventive medicine reports, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 2 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
2citing papers in PubMed
0.4field-weighted citation impact, top 34% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

2 citing papers in PubMed, 3 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Article
  2. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

6 authors at 2 institutions in 3 countries.

Anne Mette BenderDepartment of Public Health, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark.
Jan SørensenCentre for Health Economics Research (COHERE), University of Southern Denmark, Odense, Denmark.
Astrid HolmDepartment of Public Health, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark.
Kenneth SimonsenResearch Centre for Prevention and Health, Glostrup, Denmark.
Finn DiderichsenDepartment of Public Health, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark.
Henrik Brønnum-HansenDepartment of Public Health, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark.
University of Copenhagen · DKRoyal College of Surgeons in Ireland · IE

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The aim of this study was to provide decision makers with an assessment of potential future health effects of interventions against overweight and obesity (OWOB). By means of the DYNAMO-HIA tool we conducted a health impact assessment simulating future prevented disease (ischemic heart disease (IHD), diabetes, stroke, and multi morbidity) incidence, prevalence and life expectancy (LE) related to a scenario where OWOB is reduced by 25% and a scenario where obesity is eliminated. The study covered projected number of persons living in Copenhagen, Denmark during year 2014-2040 (n 2040 = 742,129). Reducing the proportion of men/women with OWOB with 25% will increase population LE by 2.4/1.2 months and at the same time decrease LE with diabetes by 3.1/2.2 months. As a result of eliminating obesity, total LE will increase by 6.0/3.6 months and LE with diabetes will decrease with 9.8/10.3 months for men/women. We found no important effects on LE with IHD and stroke. This illustrates that the positive effects of lowering OWOB levels on IHD and stroke incidence is offset due to increasing total LE. Although the population of Copenhagen is relatively lean, reducing obesity levels will result in significant benefits for population cardiometabolic health status and LE. Future public health prevention programs may use the results as reference data for potential impact of reductions in OWOB.

Indexed as

CVDForecastingHealth impact assessmentLife expectancyObesitySimulation

Identifiers

PMID32685361
PMCPMC7358723
OpenAlexW3036786202

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY-NC-ND
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.