Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32664271›Full record

ArticleInternational journal of environmental research and public health2020

Risk Prediction for Early Chronic Kidney Disease: Results from an Adult Health Examination Program of 19,270 Individuals.

Chin-Chuan Shih, Chi-Jie Lu, Gin-Den Chen, Chi-Chang Chang

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in International journal of environmental research and public health, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 34 papers, 2 of them syntheses that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
34citing papers in PubMed, 2 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

34 citing papers in PubMed, 2 syntheses or guidelines pooled it.

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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Chin-Chuan ShihInstitute of Medicine, Chung Shan Medical University, Taichung 40201, Taiwan.
Chi-Jie LuGraduate Institute of Business Administration, Fu Jen Catholic University, New Taipei 24205, Taiwan.ORCID 0000-0002-7911-2253
Gin-Den ChenInstitute of Medicine, Chung Shan Medical University, Taichung 40201, Taiwan.
Chi-Chang ChangSchool of Medical Informatics, Chung Shan Medical University & IT office, Chung Shan Medical University Hospital, Taichung 40201, Taiwan.ORCID 0000-0001-6513-9212

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Developing effective risk prediction models is a cost-effective approach to predicting complications of chronic kidney disease (CKD) and mortality rates; however, there is inadequate evidence to support screening for CKD. In this study, four data mining algorithms, including a classification and regression tree, a C4.5 decision tree, a linear discriminant analysis, and an extreme learning machine, are used to predict early CKD. The study includes datasets from 19,270 patients, provided by an adult health examination program from 32 chain clinics and three special physical examination centers, between 2015 and 2019. There were 11 independent variables, and the glomerular filtration rate (GFR) was used as the predictive variable. The C4.5 decision tree algorithm outperformed the three comparison models for predicting early CKD based on accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, and area under the curve metrics. It is, therefore, a promising method for early CKD prediction. The experimental results showed that Urine protein and creatinine ratio (UPCR), Proteinuria (PRO), Red blood cells (RBC), Glucose Fasting (GLU), Triglycerides (TG), Total Cholesterol (T-CHO), age, and gender are important risk factors. CKD care is closely related to primary care level and is recognized as a healthcare priority in national strategy. The proposed risk prediction models can support the important influence of personality and health examination representations in predicting early CKD.

Indexed as

Renal Insufficiency, ChronicAdultCreatinineFemaleGlomerular Filtration RateHumansKidney Function TestsMalePhysical ExaminationProteinuriaRisk FactorsCreatinineearly chronic kidney diseasemachine learningrisk prediction

Identifiers

PMID32664271
PMCPMC7399976

What OpenQuestion holds

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Registered trials

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Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.