Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32660664›Full record

ArticleDisaster medicine and public health preparedness2020

Mitigating the Twin Threats of Climate-Driven Atlantic Hurricanes and COVID-19 Transmission.

James M Shultz, James P Kossin, Attila Hertelendy, Fredrick Burkle, Craig Fugate, Ronald Sherman, Johnna Bakalar, Kim Berg, Alessandra Maggioni, Zelde Espinel and 4 more

Open access · hybridAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Disaster medicine and public health preparedness, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 20 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
20citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
14.2field-weighted citation impact, top 1% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

20 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 55 citations in OpenAlex.

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  16. Dueling emergencies: Flood evacuation ridesharing during the COVID-19 pandemic.Transportation research interdisciplinary perspectives · 2021
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  17. A Rapid Assessment of Disaster Preparedness Needs and Resources during the COVID-19 Pandemic.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2021
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

14 authors at 8 institutions in 2 countries.

James M ShultzCenter for Disaster and Extreme Event Preparedness (DEEP Center), Department of Public Health Sciences, University of Miami Miller School of Medicine, Miami, Florida.ORCID 0000-0003-3279-5533
James P KossinNOAA's National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI), Center for Weather and Climate, Madison, WI.
Attila HertelendyDepartment of Information Systems and Business Analytics, College of Business, Florida International University, Miami, FL.
Fredrick BurkleHarvard Humanitarian Initiative, Harvard University, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA.ORCID 0000-0002-5110-7284
Craig FugateCraig Fugate Consulting LLC, FEMA, GainesvilleFL.
Ronald ShermanFEMA (ret), River Forest, IL.
Johnna BakalarDepartment of Public Health Sciences, University of Miami Miller School of Medicine, Miami, Florida.
Kim BergJohns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health, Baltimore, MD.
Alessandra MaggioniDepartment of Public Health Sciences, University of Miami Miller School of Medicine, Miami, Florida.
Zelde EspinelSylvester Comprehensive Cancer Center, Department of Psychiatry and Behavioral Sciences, University of Miami Miller School of Medicine, Miami, Florida.
Duane E SandsMinistry of Health (ret), Nassau, New Providence, The Bahamas.
Regina C LaRocqueDivision of Infectious Diseases, Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA.
Renee N SalasDepartment of Emergency Medicine, Massachusetts General Hospital, Harvard Medical School; Center for Climate, Health, and the Global Environment, Harvard T.H. Chan School of Public Health, Harvard Global Health Institute, Boston, MA.
Sandro GaleaSchool of Public Health, Boston University, Boston, MA.
University of Miami · USFederal Emergency Management Agency · USHarvard University · USFlorida International University · USJohns Hopkins University · USMinistry of Health · BSNOAA National Centers for Environmental Information · USWoodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars · US

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

The co-occurrence of the 2020 Atlantic hurricane season and the ongoing coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic creates complex dilemmas for protecting populations from these intersecting threats. Climate change is likely contributing to stronger, wetter, slower-moving, and more dangerous hurricanes. Climate-driven hazards underscore the imperative for timely warning, evacuation, and sheltering of storm-threatened populations - proven life-saving protective measures that gather evacuees together inside durable, enclosed spaces when a hurricane approaches. Meanwhile, the rapid acquisition of scientific knowledge regarding how COVID-19 spreads has guided mass anti-contagion strategies, including lockdowns, sheltering at home, physical distancing, donning personal protective equipment, conscientious handwashing, and hygiene practices. These life-saving strategies, credited with preventing millions of COVID-19 cases, separate and move people apart. Enforcement coupled with fear of contracting COVID-19 have motivated high levels of adherence to these stringent regulations. How will populations react when warned to shelter from an oncoming Atlantic hurricane while COVID-19 is actively circulating in the community? Emergency managers, health care providers, and public health preparedness professionals must create viable solutions to confront these potential scenarios: elevated rates of hurricane-related injury and mortality among persons who refuse to evacuate due to fear of COVID-19, and the resurgence of COVID-19 cases among hurricane evacuees who shelter together.

Indexed as

Atlantic OceanClimate ChangeCOVID-19Cyclonic StormsEmergency ShelterHumansPandemicsPublic HealthRisk Managementclimate changeclimate driversCOVID-19evacuationhurricanemitigationpandemicsheltering

Identifiers

PMID32660664
PMCPMC7387761
OpenAlexW3043641517

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.