Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32660217›Full record

ArticleEpidemiology and health2020

Demographic and epidemiological characteristics of scorpion envenomation and daily forecasting of scorpion sting counts in Touggourt, Algeria.

Kaouthar Boubekeur, Mohamed L'Hadj, Schehrazad Selmane

Open access · diamondAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Epidemiology and health, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 8 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
8citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
0.5field-weighted citation impact, top 29% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

8 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it, 8 citations in OpenAlex.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Characterization ofToxins · 2025
    Article
  3. Article
  4. Proteasome-driven modulation of immune and oxidative pathways during scorpion envenomation pathogenesis.The journal of venomous animals and toxins including tropical diseases · 2025
    Article
  5. Article
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Kaouthar BoubekeurL'IFORCE, Faculty of Mathematics, University of Sciences and Technology Houari Boumediene, Bab Ezzouar, Algeria.
Mohamed L'HadjHealth and Hospital Reform Services, Ministry of Health, Population and Hospital Reform, Algiers, Algeria.
Schehrazad SelmaneL'IFORCE, Faculty of Mathematics, University of Sciences and Technology Houari Boumediene, Bab Ezzouar, Algeria.
University of Sciences and Technology Houari Boumediene · DZMinistère de la Santé · DZ

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

objectivesThis study was conducted to provide better insights into the demographic and epidemiological characteristics of scorpion envenomation in an endemic area in Algeria and to identify the model that best predicted daily scorpion sting counts.

methodsDaily sting data from January 1, 2013 to August 31, 2016 were extracted from questionnaires designed to elicit information on scorpion stings from the two emergency medical service providers in Touggourt, Algeria. Count regression models were applied to the daily sting data.

resultsA total of 4,712 scorpion sting cases were documented, of which 70% occurred in people aged between 10 years and 49 years. The male-to-female ratio was 1.3. The upper and lower limbs were the most common locations of scorpion stings (90.4% of cases). Most stings (92.8%) were mild. The percent of people stung inside dwellings was 68.8%. The hourly distribution of stings showed a peak between 10:00 a.m. and 11:00 a.m. The daily number of stings ranged from 0 to 24. The occurrence of stings was highest on Sundays. The incidence of scorpion stings increased sharply in the summer. The mean annual incidence rate was 542 cases per 100,000 inhabitants. The fitted count regression models showed that a negative binomial hurdle model was appropriate for forecasting daily stings in terms of temperature and relative humidity, and the fitted data agreed considerably with the actual data.

conclusionsThis study showed that daily scorpion sting data provided meaningful insights; and the negative binomial Hurdle model was preferable for predicting daily scorpion sting counts.

Indexed as

AdolescentAdultAgedAged, 80 and overAlgeriaAnimalsChildChild, PreschoolEmergency Medical ServicesFemaleForecastingHumansIncidenceInfantInfant, NewbornMaleScorpion VenomsAlgeriaData analysisScorpion stingsStatistical modelsTouggourt

Identifiers

PMID32660217
PMCPMC7871152
OpenAlexW3039524544

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.