Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32659983›Full record

ArticleInternational journal of environmental research and public health2020

40-Year Projections of Disability and Social Isolation of Older Adults for Long-Range Policy Planning in Singapore.

Reuben Ng, Si Qi Lim, Su Ying Saw, Kelvin Bryan Tan

Open access · goldAbstract read
In one paragraph

Article in International journal of environmental research and public health, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 29 papers.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
29citing papers in PubMed
10.9field-weighted citation impact, top 2% of its field
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

29 citing papers in PubMed, 38 citations in OpenAlex.

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  11. Ageism on Twitter during the COVID-19 pandemic.The Journal of social issues · 2022
    Article
  12. Big Data, Decision Models, and Public Health.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2022
    Article
  13. Article
  14. Article
  15. Article
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  18. The Prevalence and Correlates of Disability in Singapore: Results from a Nationwide Cross-Sectional Survey.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2021
    Article
  19. Article
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4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors at 2 institutions in 1 country.

Reuben NgLee Kuan Yew School of Public Policy, National University of Singapore, Singapore 259772, Singapore.
Si Qi LimLee Kuan Yew School of Public Policy, National University of Singapore, Singapore 259772, Singapore.ORCID 0000-0003-2335-8024
Su Ying SawMinistry of Health, Singapore 169854, Singapore.
Kelvin Bryan TanMinistry of Health, Singapore 169854, Singapore.
Ministry of Health · SGNational University of Singapore · SG

Funding

No grant is acknowledged in the PubMed record.

6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Against a rapidly aging population, projections are done to size up the demand for long-term care (LTC) services for long-range policy planning. These projections are typically focused on functional factors such as disability. Recent studies indicate the importance of social factors, for example, socially isolated seniors living alone are more likely to be institutionalized, resulting in higher demand for LTC services. This is one the first known studies to complete a 40-year projection of LTC demand based on disability and social isolation. The primary micro dataset was the Retirement and Health Survey, Singapore's first nationally representative longitudinal study of noninstitutionalized older adults aged 45 to 85 with over 15,000 respondents. Disability prevalence across the mild to severe spectrum is projected to increase five-fold over the next 40 years, and the number of socially isolated elders living alone is projected to grow four-fold. Regression models of living arrangements revealed interesting ethnic differences: Malay elders are 2.6 times less likely to live alone than their Chinese counterparts, controlling for marital status, age, and housing type. These projections provide a glimpse of the growing demand for LTC services for a rapidly aging Singapore and underscore the need to shore up community-based resources to enable seniors to age-in-place.

Indexed as

Health PlanningHealth PolicyPersons with DisabilitiesSocial IsolationAgedAged, 80 and overFemaleForecastingHumansLongitudinal StudiesMaleMiddle AgedSingaporeagingAsiapsychomicspublic policyrisksocial gerontology

Identifiers

PMID32659983
PMCPMC7399997
OpenAlexW3041707981

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.