Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32659361›Full record

ArticleJournal of clinical epidemiology2020

Fragility index of network meta-analysis with application to smoking cessation data.

Aiwen Xing, Haitao Chu, Lifeng Lin

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Journal of clinical epidemiology, 2020. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 10 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
10citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

10 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Pooled it
  2. Article
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Review
  6. Article
  7. Article
  8. Article
  9. Fragility indices for only sufficiently likely modifications.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America · 2021
    Article
  10. Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

3 authors.

Aiwen XingDepartment of Statistics, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL, USA.
Haitao ChuDivision of Biostatistics, School of Public Health, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis, MN, USA.
Lifeng LinDepartment of Statistics, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL, USA. Electronic address: linl@stat.fsu.edu.

Funding

Using social networks to map and evaluate team science across CTSA hubsUL1TR001427 · NCATS · UNIVERSITY OF FLORIDA · PI MITCHELL, DUANE A. · 2015 to 2024
$37.2M
Statistical Methods and Software for Multivariate Meta-analysisR01LM012982 · NLM · UNIVERSITY OF MINNESOTA · PI LIN, LIFENG, SIEGEL, LIANNE · 2019 to 2022
$1.3M
NCATS NIH HHS UL1 TR001427NLM NIH HHS R01 LM012982
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

BACKGROUND AND

objectivesThe network meta-analysis (NMA) is frequently used to synthesize evidence for multiple treatment comparisons, but its complexity may affect the robustness (or fragility) of the results. The fragility index (FI) is recently proposed to assess the fragility of the results from clinical studies and from pairwise meta-analyses. We extend the FI to NMAs with binary outcomes.

methodsWe define the FI for each treatment comparison in NMAs. It quantifies the minimal number of events necessary to be modified for altering the comparison's statistical significance. We introduce an algorithm to derive the FI and visualizations of the process. A worked example of smoking cessation data is used to illustrate the proposed methods.

resultsSome treatment comparisons had small FIs; their significance (or nonsignificance) could be altered by modifying a few events' status. They were related to various factors, such as P-values, event counts, and sample sizes, in the original NMA. After modifying event status, treatment ranking measures were also changed to different extents.

conclusionMany NMAs include insufficiently compared treatments, small event counts, or small sample sizes; their results are potentially fragile. The FI offers a useful tool to evaluate treatment comparisons' robustness and reliability.

Indexed as

Network Meta-Analysis as TopicConfidence IntervalsHumansOdds RatioProbabilityReproducibility of ResultsSmoking CessationFragility indexNetwork meta-analysisReplicabilityStatistical significanceSystematic reviewTreatment comparison

Identifiers

PMID32659361
PMCPMC7669670

What OpenQuestion holds

Textmetadata
LicenceTDM
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.