Evidence map›Paper›PMID 32653966›Full record

ArticleEnvironmental geochemistry and health2021

Geostatistical model of the spatial distribution of arsenic in groundwaters in Gujarat State, India.

Ruohan Wu, Joel Podgorski, Michael Berg, David A Polya

Abstract read
In one paragraph

Article in Environmental geochemistry and health, 2021. The graph could read no effect estimate from its abstract, so it casts no vote on the map. Cited by 6 papers, 1 of them a synthesis that pooled it.

0numbers the graph read from it
0cells of the map it votes in
6citing papers in PubMed, 1 pooled it
–field-weighted citation impact
1 · What the graph read from it

What it found

Each row is one number read from the abstract, on the scale the paper reported it, with its interval. Left of the dashed line favours the treatment, right favours the comparator. Under each row is the sentence it came from. New to these charts? A ten-minute tutorial.

The abstract states no effect estimate the extractor could read, or names no intervention and outcome on the map, so this paper lights no cell and moves no belief. It is still indexed, cited and linked below.

2 · The registry

The trial behind it

Trials whose registry record cites this paper, or whose number appears in the abstract. A trial that started after this paper was published is citing it as background, not reporting it.

Neither the registry nor the abstract names a trial number. If this is a trial report, that itself is worth knowing.

3 · Its place in the literature

Who cites it

6 citing papers in PubMed, 1 synthesis or guideline pooled it.

  1. Carcinogenic effect of arsenic in digestive cancers: a systematic review.Environmental health : a global access science source · 2023
    Pooled it
  2. Review
  3. Article
  4. Article
  5. Article
  6. Groundwater Arsenic Distribution in India by Machine Learning Geospatial Modeling.International journal of environmental research and public health · 2020
    Article
4 · The record

Corrections and comments

PubMed lists nothing against this paper. Absence here is not a guarantee, only a check that was made.

5 · Who and what money

Authors and funding

4 authors.

Ruohan WuDepartment of Earth and Environmental Sciences, School of Natural Sciences and Williamson Research Centre for Molecular Environmental Science, University of Manchester, Manchester, M13 9PL, UK.
Joel PodgorskiDepartment of Earth and Environmental Sciences, School of Natural Sciences and Williamson Research Centre for Molecular Environmental Science, University of Manchester, Manchester, M13 9PL, UK.
Michael BergEawag, Swiss Federal Institute of Aquatic Science and Technology, 8600, Dübendorf, Switzerland.
David A PolyaDepartment of Earth and Environmental Sciences, School of Natural Sciences and Williamson Research Centre for Molecular Environmental Science, University of Manchester, Manchester, M13 9PL, UK. david.polya@manchester.ac.uk.ORCID http://orcid.org/0000-0002-7484-6696

Funding

Engineering and Physical Sciences Research Council IAA Impact Award
6 · The paper itself

Abstract

Geogenic arsenic contamination in groundwaters poses a severe health risk to hundreds of millions of people globally. Notwithstanding the particular risks to exposed populations in the Indian sub-continent, at the time of writing, there was a paucity of geostatistically based models of the spatial distribution of groundwater hazard in India. In this study, we used logistic regression models of secondary groundwater arsenic data with research-informed secondary soil, climate and topographic variables as principal predictors generate hazard and risk maps of groundwater arsenic at a resolution of 1 km across Gujarat State. By combining models based on different arsenic concentrations, we have generated a pseudo-contour map of groundwater arsenic concentrations, which indicates greater arsenic hazard (> 10 μg/L) in the northwest, northeast and south-east parts of Kachchh District as well as northwest and southwest Banas Kantha District. The total number of people living in areas in Gujarat with groundwater arsenic concentration exceeding 10 μg/L is estimated to be around 122,000, of which we estimate approximately 49,000 people consume groundwater exceeding 10 µg/L. Using simple previously published dose-response relationships, this is estimated to have given rise to 700 (prevalence) cases of skin cancer and around 10 cases of premature avoidable mortality/annum from internal (lung, liver, bladder) cancers-that latter value is on the order of just 0.001% of internal cancers in Gujarat, reflecting the relative low groundwater arsenic hazard in Gujarat State.

Indexed as

Environmental MonitoringArsenicGroundwaterHumansIndiaLogistic ModelsSoilWater Pollutants, ChemicalArsenicSoilWater Pollutants, ChemicalArsenicGeostatisticsGroundwaterGujaratHealth impactsLogistic regression

Identifiers

PMID32653966
PMCPMC8275508

What OpenQuestion holds

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LicenceCC BY
Read underepoch 390

Registered trials

None linked

Read under generation 80e0d062 · epoch 390. Bibliography from PubMed, PubMed Central and OpenAlex; grants from NIH RePORTER; trial links from ClinicalTrials.gov; estimates, votes and beliefs from the OpenQuestion graph.